Recession Watch? Sentiment has bottomed? With the Small Business job creating engine of America plunging right back into the abyss of a recession mentality, it’s a bold forecast to claim that economic sentiment for the US is about to turn higher. Let’s just say 2015 was the year the Energy…
Deceptively Strong Economy Some analysts continue to warn of a deteriorating US and global economy with more “negative” interest rates ahead. German 2 year Government Bonds have had a negative interest rate for most of the past 6 months, but yields are not just being artificially suppressed by the $Trillions in Central Bank debt…
Lock and Load, Disengage Safety and Prepare to Commence Firing! According to the recent Wall Street Journal survey, economists don’t think the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin the long anticipated rate hike trend in September, however all the economic data they will gather to make their decision has now been collected as…
It’s easy to be a pessimist after 6 years of an economic recovery where the majority are still trying to recover from the 2008 recession. Net job creation and wage growth since 2008 have been historically weak. However, we remain more upbeat as auto sales continue to push toward record levels, job creation since the labor…
Multi-month sideways trends in currencies, oil, stock indices and many commodity markets is destined to continue for another couple days as we await Wednesday (29th) for 1st quarter GDP results. Consensus for the US 1st quarter GDP was at 3% growth as of 2 months ago. Now the mean estimate is for just…
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