In the long colorful history of American enterprise, few spectacles rival the resilience of the equity markets in the age of AI. Since the post-COVID bull market took hold in earnest in 2022, the tech-heavy S&P 500 has climbed some 117 percent, while the even more concentrated Nasdaq easily outpaced,...
The market has entered that peculiar phase common to great technological revolutions when skepticism still fills television panels while trillions of dollars quietly rearrange themselves beneath the surface of the economy. America is no longer merely participating in an AI boom; it is reorganizing industrial civilization around it. While there...
Presidential election campaign news continues to be a major factor influencing both capital spending decisions in the economy and commodity markets in general. Stocks, Peso and Oil markets in particular are being boosted by the status quo stability weighting of a Clinton victory. This is not an endorsement, merely a market reaction to...
K DELTA Futures: Stocks, bonds and currencies are the obvious markets directly affected by the words of Janet Yellen’s Federal Reserve, but virtually all markets can be pushed around as an army of investors interpret and reinterpret the Fed’s intentions Wednesday. It’s a silly game with almost no major impact,...
K DELTA Futures: Sugar moved closer to our upside target and our profit stops are rising as well in a trade due to peak soon. A Natural Gas Buy signal is possible in the next couple of weeks, but momentum is already overbought. The Canadian $ is near a Sell...
K DELTA 2016: Commodity futures trading system The US $ is touching first resistance allowing Oil and most commodities to firm. Sugar triggered a KDelta Buy Stop Friday and almost surged to reach its Limit Sell order target before pulling back. We will lock in a profit stop here and...
Wage data in last week’s jobs report was weak along with this week’s slowing in ISM/PMI Services and Manufacturing reports. Almost 80% surveyed don’t expect a September rate hike. With softer data also coming out of Europe it would defy logic and the guidelines of the Fed if they were...
Professional opinions continue to be very conflicted about a September and or yearend central bank fed funds rate hike. The majority rule out a higher rate at the September FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting 9/20. A strong wage report this Friday would greatly enhance the odds of a 25...
K DELTA 2016: Commodity futures trading system Updated 08-28-16 While never clear, The Federal Reserve Chair on Friday was “interpreted” to say the odds of a Fed Funds Rate hike in September &/or before year end had increased. The take away is that any key data points – especially wage...
K DELTA Futures 2016: Stock indices have churned for over 6 days with very high Call option buying suggesting higher risk near term. It’s possible for this topping phase to edge sideways to higher for another week or two or the current correction may deepen first. Despite our 2016 SP...
