In a moment of unprofound insight lacking sound and fury meaning absolutely nothing to investor expectations, Fed Chief Powell this past week made the most anodyne comments possible that the economy was likely to continue growing. It’s also likely that the Fed has never forecast anything but continued economic growth as…
Should US consumers feel consumed by the growing avalanche of negative news? There is an unending tariff war between the worlds two biggest economies, risk of a Hard Brexit impairing the UK, a US manufacturing recession and high odds of a Presidential impeachment. Reflecting this anxiety and uncertainty manifests in optimism among corporate executives…
The 106 year old Federal Reserve Bank of the US controls monetary policy to influence economic conditions, primarily by moving short term bank borrowing rates and bank reserves. Surveys predict 100% confidence in a Federal Reserve Rate cut on September 18th and high odds of another cut before year end….
The Inverted Yield Curve with short term rates above long rates has been one of the most anticipated over hyped harbingers of doom and gloom in history. For over a year Bearish forecasters sounded the alarm bells of a coming contraction as the Yield inversion approached, even though histrionically this is one of the best…
In the final 4 months of 2018 there were over 40 central banks interest rate hikes from around the world despite clear global slowing throughout 2018. In the past 4 months over 40 central bank rate cuts have occurred. More rate cuts are coming, as investment markets are leading the…
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