Lock and Load, Disengage Safety and Prepare to Commence Firing! According to the recent Wall Street Journal survey, economists don’t think the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin the long anticipated rate hike trend in September, however all the economic data they will gather to make their decision has now been collected as…
It’s easy to be a pessimist after 6 years of an economic recovery where the majority are still trying to recover from the 2008 recession. Net job creation and wage growth since 2008 have been historically weak. However, we remain more upbeat as auto sales continue to push toward record levels, job creation since the labor…
Multi-month sideways trends in currencies, oil, stock indices and many commodity markets is destined to continue for another couple days as we await Wednesday (29th) for 1st quarter GDP results. Consensus for the US 1st quarter GDP was at 3% growth as of 2 months ago. Now the mean estimate is for just…
In late 2013 throughout 2014 we have been contrarian stating that a longer term rise in interest rates above 3% in the 10 year Treasury was unlikely and that rates should keep falling. In sync with this call our forecast for all Oil rallies over $100 to be sold over the…
US Economy Shines Brightly Upon Global Shadows If there was one concept to explain the unique dominance of the US economic performance over the rest of the world we would point to Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is essentially a 2008 invention to prevent the global panic that was evolving from the…
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