Wage Inflation Panics Stock Market

Category: Speculator | No Comments

In recent months we have been warning that the first deep dive in stocks since Trump’s 2016 election would be in the 1st quarter 2018. Once Trump passed the Tax cuts last December we opined that the trigger for this market decline would be Wage inflation and fear of higher interest…

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US Dollar Importance is Fake News

Category: Newsletter, Oil, Speculator, US Economy | No Comments

Currencies appreciate and depreciate for many reasons and either extreme isn’t necessarily good or bad.  Traditional economic theory holds that a cheaper domestic currency relative to other trading partners reduces imports and boosts exports as our widgets become cheaper from the perspective of other countries and inflation pressures rise as…

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Will “Real” Rally Sweeten Sugar

Category: Newsletter, Softs | No Comments

Understandably the commodity oriented Brazilian economy has a close connection between its currency and the crops it grows. Sugar, Coffee, Cocoa and to a lesser extent Soybeans and Orange Juice all have some correlation with the Brazilian economy and its currency – the “Real”.  When commodities in general peaked in…

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Coffee Percolating for 2018 Rally

Category: Newsletter, Speculator | No Comments

Coffee is a market that spends 80% of its time moving sideways or lower. Thus looking for Bull moves higher entails some risk.  Brazilian currency appreciation, La Nina and extreme oversold hedge positions by Money Managers and Large Spec traders all have potential to support a meaningful rally in 2018 above the 130’s…

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