Commodities Rebound on Trump’s Worry Over Fed Rate Hikes

[SS & KDelta Trader Portfolio models below]

07-20-18  Trump pushes $ lower for the day & lifts all commodities related to trade. If Fed reasserts its independence, then $ will bounce higher.

07-18-18  Aussie, NZ$, Euro, Pound & US$ are all ready to break out of congestion & trigger KDelta signals as support or resistance is broken. NatGas is at support.

07-12-18  Swiss Franc & NatGas have triggered KDelta Sell signals. NNatGas has locked in a modest profit looking for one more thrust lower.

06-14-18   Europe’s decision to continue quantitative easing until year end 2018, 4+ years after the US stopped, has provided fuel for the rally in the US$. 

06-12-18    Copper top arrived as expected and our SS model trailing stop was triggered with 116% gains on this 6 day trade.

06-04-18    SS Sugar trade exited with large profits, although well off  Friday’s high after becoming short term overbought–> a 12 day trade =+107% ROI. :  SS model Buy on Copper Friday~310 –  hints that prices could rally to the top of the range to the 320’s over the next week.

05-22-18   Our 2 Cattle trades closed out today for an average of 85% profit on invested margin over in less than 2 weeks. 

05-06-18    As we have been saying for months, buying any $3+ dollar dip in Oil through May was the strategy as Trump continues to fulfill campaign promises working toward a military confrontation that drains the Iranian military swamp of petrodollars. …Oil prices are breaking out … towards our $71.7 – $75.25 target zone. 

04-30-18  The US$ continues to show strength hitting our first higher confidence short term target of 9165 last week. Oil may be overbought basis hedge funds and held back by the strong $, but we have advised buying all dips since our January newsletter expecting Trump to escalate war rhetoric with Iran into a May/June climax.

(*While trading position updates will be frequent, readers should check for updates without waiting for email notifications)

P/(L) per $10,000 uses multiplier so all trades are of equal margin per $10,000 investment)

New Trading Model: KDelta SS (Exits are determined in closing & opening minutes)

KDelta SS Open Trades

07-20-18Buy Dec Wheat503-4TBD499-0

KDelta SS Closed Trades 2018

DateOrderEntryExit DatePriceP/(L) per contractProfit per $10,000
YTD = $20,112$121,216
07-1918Sell Sep 10 Yr Tr120-0207-19-18120-08(188)(1266)
07-19-18Buy Dec Oats239-207-19-18235-6(175)(2358)
07-19-18Buy Sep NZ$678307-19-186750(330)(2727)
07-0218Sell Sep OJ1614007-10-18166858177280
06-06-18Buy Aug Gold1303.606-13-181299.6(400)(1173)
06-04-18Buy Jul Copper309.8506-12-18324.2358711647
05-15-18Buy Jul Sugar115906-04-181250112010697
05-20-18Buy Jul BeanOil311805-25-1831401322000
05-20-18Buy Jul Copper307.4505-23-18307.4500
05-08-18Sell Aug LCattle104.47505-21-18100.1175010606
05-08-18Sell Aug FCattle143.7505-21-18139.819756412
05-16-18Buy Jul Copper307.0005-18-18307.0000
05-04-18Sell Jul Beans103705-14-181017-69624730
04-12-18Sell Jun TBond145-1204-27-18143-0721569116
04-11-18Sell Jun 10YrNote120-2704-26-18119-09156211833
04-11-18Sell Jun 5YrNote114-07804-25-18113-09594715373
04-06-18Buy Jun Hogs732504-18-18 7852.5211015985
04-03-18Buy Jun Canadian$781804-12-18 7958140011570
03-12-18Buy Jun Gold1326.703-16-18 1318.7(800)(2346)
03-12-18Buy Jun 10YrNote120-0603-20-18 120-04(63)(636)
03-07-18Sell Jun Oil607503-20-18 6220(1450)(5731)
02-26-18Buy Jul Silver16.71202-28-1816.5(1060)(2677)
02-26-18Buy Jun Aussie$785102-27-18 7899(520)(3782)
02-15-18Sell Jul OJ148.1503-07-18 141.959308611
02-20-18Sell Jun Swiss1079003-05-18 107289303019
02-13-18Buy Jun minSP2664.503-01-182684.510001683
02-02-18Sell Jun NZ$730002-13-1872703002098
01-30-18Sell Jul Silver17.23502-12-1816.73525006313
01-23-18Sell Jun Hogs84.0002-01-1883.004003030
01-10-18Buy Jun Yen906001-18-1890884201909

 (KDelta Futures Trader is a proprietary short term breakout model created in the 1980’s that generates about 7 trades a month. Readers should periodically check this site for updates as not all updates generate email notifications.

Open Positions KDelta Futures Trader

DateSignalContractEntryExit (Limit)Trailing stop

Pending Signals KDelta Futures Trader

Entry StopContractEntryExit limitTrailing

2018 Closed Positions: Futures Trader

DateSignalContractEntry PriceExit DateExit Price Contract P/(L)P/(L) $10,000
07-09-18SellAug NatGas285907-17-1827669307045
07-12-18SellSep Swiss1005507-16-181005500
06-22-18BuyAug NatGas294506-28-1829955003788
05-30-18BuyJul Coffee1214506-01-181241310054350
05-22-18BuyJul NatGas290105-29-1829222101590
05-23-18BuyJul Corn408-005-25-18404-4(175)(2210)
05-21-18BuyJul Oil723505-23-187167(680)(2523)
05-22-18BuyJun miniSP274105-22-182728(650)(1094)
05-21-18BuyJun NZ$693505-22-18693500
05-14-18BuyJun NatGas284505-16-182825 (200)(1515)
05-09-18SellJul Cocoa272905-09-182754(250)(1337)
05-04-18BuyJul Cotton858305-07-1886332501136
05-03-18BuyJul Corn406-405-07-18403-2(163)(2052)
04-25-18SellJun NZ$716505-02-187012153010699
04-30-18BuyJun Corn401-205-01-18402-037473
04-27-18BuyJun Jul BeanMeal394.404-30-18394.400
04-25-18SellJun Euro1225504-27-181213914506277
04-25-18BuyJun US$905204-27-18916411206171
03-23-18SellJun Nikkei2051503-24-1820560(250)(480)
03-23-18SellJun Nikkei2050003-23-1820415425816
03-22-18BuyJun 10 Yr Note120-2403-22-18120-17(219)(2038)
03-22-18BuyJun 10 Yr Note120-2303-22-18120-14(281)(2689)
03-21-18SellJun NZ$717003-22-187222(520)(3636)
02-21-18SellMar 30 Yr Bond143-0402-22-18143-0333113
02-14-18SellMar 5 Yr Note114-09.2502-16-18114-0651824
02-12-18BuyMar BeanMeal351.302-13-18370.5192017454
02-01-18BuyMar Cocoa201302-05-1820564303399
01-24-18BuyMar Canadian810601-25-188091(150)(1049)
01-10-18BuyMar Yen897801-15-18906611004444
01-09-18BuyMar 10 Yr Note123-1201-10-18122-314063515
01-03-18BuyMar Nikkei 2252307501-04-182337515003846
12-26-17BuyFeb WTI Oil590001-03-18610910904776
12-28-17BuyMar Swiss1025401-02-181034311123612


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