Exiting Coffee Up 300%

[SS & KDelta Futures Trader Portfolio models below]

10-15-18   While the model is on the verge of exiting early this week, we are exiting Dec’ Coffee here at 119.15 after exceeding upside targets in extreme “short term” overbought territory. Gains of 303% on investment or over $7,000 per contract over the the past few weeks. Coffee still looks Bullish long term – after some consolidation. With Coffee & Sugar in sync & upside March Sugar targets remaining in the 13.65 to 14.35 zone, its possible Coffee will continue until Sugar reaches its upside exhaustion area this week.

10-09-18  Still long Coffee. Potential to 117 area, but letting the model dictate the exit. Current gains are ~219% over invested margin, over $5,000/contract.

10-05-18   Bond yields continue to surge & risk hurting stocks next week as Bonds are now leading stocks.

10-02-18  Heating Oil & energies closed out with large gains as instructed. Our Coffee Buy on the 28th is paying off with huge gains this week.  Coffee and Sugar are being boosted by rumor of a shipping transportation shortage.

09-28-18  We closed out the last of our energy trades.  fundamentals favor more upside in 2018 while inventories fall. Coffee has triggered a Buy today. A long term low here is overdue with better prospects once Brazil stabilizes.

09-23-18  … energy prices are again pushing to new contract highs as shrinking inventories & limits on OPEC & US output persist… we are impressed by the persistent attempts to break higher. 

09-17-18  …most commodities are deeply oversold long term until US Dollar moves lower & Emerging Markets like Brazil (EWZ) move higher.

09-11-18    Yuan and EM could eventually be a trigger for a correction in the stock market. 

05-06-18    As we have been saying for months, buying any $3+ dollar dip in Oil …is the strategy as Trump continues to fulfill campaign promises working toward a confrontation that drains the Iranian military swamp of petrodollars. …Oil prices are breaking out … towards our $71.7 – $75.25 target zone. 

04-30-18  The US$ continues to show strength hitting our first higher confidence short term target of 9165 last week. Oil may be overbought basis hedge funds and held back by the strong $, but we have advised buying all dips since our January newsletter expecting Trump to escalate war rhetoric with Iran into May/June.

(*While trading position updates will be frequent, readers should check for updates without waiting for email notifications)

P/(L) per $10,000 uses multiplier so all trades are of equal margin per $10,000 investment)

New Trading Model: KDelta SS (Exits are determined in closing & opening minutes)

KDelta SS Open Trades

10-23-18Buy Dec 10Yr Note118-10TBD118-04

KDelta SS Closed Trades 2018

DateOrderEntryExit DatePriceP/(L) per contractProfit per $10,000
YTD = $28,853$160,007
09-28-18Buy Dec Coffee991510-15-1811915750030,300
08-31-18Sell Dec Hogs540009-04-185525(500)(3788)
08-10-18Sell Dec BeanOil288408-17-182873661000
07-20-18Buy Dec Wheat513-007-27-18547-41,67511,279
07-19-18Sell Sep 10 Yr Tr120-0207-19-18120-08(188)(1266)
07-19-18Buy Dec Oats239-207-19-18235-6(175)(2358)
07-19-18Buy Sep NZ$678307-19-186750(330)(2727)
07-0218Sell Sep OJ1614007-10-18166858177280
06-06-18Buy Aug Gold1303.606-13-181299.6(400)(1173)
06-04-18Buy Jul Copper309.8506-12-18324.2358711647
05-15-18Buy Jul Sugar115906-04-181250112010697
05-20-18Buy Jul BeanOil311805-25-1831401322000
05-20-18Buy Jul Copper307.4505-23-18307.4500
05-08-18Sell Aug LCattle104.47505-21-18100.1175010606
05-08-18Sell Aug FCattle143.7505-21-18139.819756412
05-16-18Buy Jul Copper307.0005-18-18307.0000
05-04-18Sell Jul Beans103705-14-181017-69624730
04-12-18Sell Jun TBond145-1204-27-18143-0721569116
04-11-18Sell Jun 10YrNote120-2704-26-18119-09156211833
04-11-18Sell Jun 5YrNote114-07804-25-18113-09594715373
04-06-18Buy Jun Hogs732504-18-18 7852.5211015985
04-03-18Buy Jun Canadian$781804-12-18 7958140011570
03-12-18Buy Jun Gold1326.703-16-18 1318.7(800)(2346)
03-12-18Buy Jun 10YrNote120-0603-20-18 120-04(63)(636)
03-07-18Sell Jun Oil607503-20-18 6220(1450)(5731)
02-26-18Buy Jul Silver16.71202-28-1816.5(1060)(2677)
02-26-18Buy Jun Aussie$785102-27-18 7899(520)(3782)
02-15-18Sell Jul OJ148.1503-07-18 141.959308611
02-20-18Sell Jun Swiss1079003-05-18 107289303019
02-13-18Buy Jun minSP2664.503-01-182684.510001683
02-02-18Sell Jun NZ$730002-13-1872703002098
01-30-18Sell Jul Silver17.23502-12-1816.73525006313
01-23-18Sell Jun Hogs84.0002-01-1883.004003030
01-10-18Buy Jun Yen906001-18-1890884201909

 (KDelta Futures Trader is a proprietary short term breakout model created in the 1980’s that generates about 7 trades a month. Readers should periodically check this site for updates as not all updates generate email notifications.

Open Positions KDelta Futures Trader

DateSignalContractEntryExit (Limit)Trailing stop
10-22-18BuyDec Gold123712511234

Pending Signals KDelta Futures Trader

Entry StopContractEntryExit limitTrailing
SellDec KC Wheat504-0498-2509-4
SellDec Wheat505-4486-0509-4
SellDec Copper272552587027535

2018 Closed Positions: Futures Trader

DateSignalContractEntry PriceExit DateExit Price Contract P/(L)P/(L) $10,000
09-24-18BuyNov HeatOil20274009-28-182349531717586
09-21-18BuyNov UnGas2022109-28-182098031887245
09-21-18BuyNov WTI Oil707509-26-1871493702170
09-21-18BuyNov HeatOil2230609-25-182310033357978
09-20-18BuyDec miniSP2917.2509-23-182925387646
09-21-18BuyNov WTI Oil713009-21-187030(500)(1466)
09-21-18BuyNov UnGas2025009-21-1819950(1260)(2864)
09-14-18SellDec BeanOil276709-20-1827501021545
09-19-18BuyNov WTI Oil709009-20-187020(350)(2053)
09-17-18SellDec Corn349-209-20-18347-21001136
09-18-18SellDec Cotton805509-18-18785510003430
09-12-18SellDec BeanOil280009-13-18279530455
09-11-18BuyNov mini Oil705509-13-186890(825)(3947)
09-07-18SellDec Aussie716909-11-1870977005091
08-15-18SellOct Oil650908-17-18650900
08-10-18SellSep Aussie731308-16-1872852802036
08-14-18SellSep Copper2673008-15-182595019506331
08-09-18SellSep NZ$668908-10-18657311609583
08-09-18SellSep Euro1156408-14-181145413755495
08-06-18SellSep Euro1158208-08-1811644(775)(3063)
07-31-18SellOct Sugar107907-31-1810513132995
07-09-18SellAug NatGas285907-17-1827669307045
07-12-18SellSep Swiss1005507-16-181005500
06-22-18BuyAug NatGas294506-28-1829955003788
05-30-18BuyJul Coffee1214506-01-181241310054350
05-22-18BuyJul NatGas290105-29-1829222101590
05-23-18BuyJul Corn408-005-25-18404-4(175)(2210)
05-21-18BuyJul Oil723505-23-187167(680)(2523)
05-22-18BuyJun miniSP274105-22-182728(650)(1094)
05-21-18BuyJun NZ$693505-22-18693500
05-14-18BuyJun NatGas284505-16-182825 (200)(1515)
05-09-18SellJul Cocoa272905-09-182754(250)(1337)
05-04-18BuyJul Cotton858305-07-1886332501136
05-03-18BuyJul Corn406-405-07-18403-2(163)(2052)
04-25-18SellJun NZ$716505-02-187012153010699
04-30-18BuyJun Corn401-205-01-18402-037473
04-27-18BuyJun Jul BeanMeal394.404-30-18394.400
04-25-18SellJun Euro1225504-27-181213914506277
04-25-18BuyJun US$905204-27-18916411206171
03-23-18SellJun Nikkei2051503-24-1820560(250)(480)
03-23-18SellJun Nikkei2050003-23-1820415425816
03-22-18BuyJun 10 Yr Note120-2403-22-18120-17(219)(2038)
03-22-18BuyJun 10 Yr Note120-2303-22-18120-14(281)(2689)
03-21-18SellJun NZ$717003-22-187222(520)(3636)
02-21-18SellMar 30 Yr Bond143-0402-22-18143-0333113
02-14-18SellMar 5 Yr Note114-09.2502-16-18114-0651824
02-12-18BuyMar BeanMeal351.302-13-18370.5192017454
02-01-18BuyMar Cocoa201302-05-1820564303399
01-24-18BuyMar Canadian810601-25-188091(150)(1049)
01-10-18BuyMar Yen897801-15-18906611004444
01-09-18BuyMar 10 Yr Note123-1201-10-18122-314063515
01-03-18BuyMar Nikkei 2252307501-04-182337515003846
12-26-17BuyFeb WTI Oil590001-03-18610910904776
12-28-17BuyMar Swiss1025401-02-181034311123612


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