Global Equity Markets Heading For New 2018 Lows

03-22-18  Trade War fears are the excuse for the latest Selling panic in stocks that have been a part of our 1st half of 2018 forecast. A more sustained decline in coming weeks will finally turn psychology to extreme pessimism that allows stocks to bottom in the 2nd quarter. With stocks falling around the globe ahead of US equities, the Nikkei is now about to trigger a breakout Sell, despite already being mildly oversold. With Stocks selling off sharply heading to their 2018 lows, yields are falling as Bond prices break out to the upside over concern of a slowing world economy. 

(*While trading position updates will be frequent, readers should check for updates without waiting for email notifications)

 (KDelta Futures Trader is a proprietary short term breakout model created in the 1980’s that generates about 7 trades a month. Readers should periodically check this site for updates as not all updates generate email notifications.

P/(L) per $10,000 uses multiplier so all trades are of equal margin per $10,000 investment)

Open Positions KDelta Futures Trader

Date

Signal

Contract

Entry

Exit (Limit)

Trailing stop

Pending Signals KDelta Futures Trader

Entry Stop	Contract	Entry	Exit limit	Trailing Stop
Sell	Jun NZ$	7165	7012	7250

Date	Signal	Contract	Entry Price	Exit Date	Exit Price	Contract P/(L)	P/(L) $10,000 margin/contract
					Total=	$6,647	$32,907
03-23-18	Sell	Jun Nikkei	20515	03-24-18	20560	(250)	(480)
03-23-18	Sell	Jun Nikkei	20500	03-23-18	20415	425	816
03-22-18	Buy	Jun 10 Yr Note	120-24	03-22-18	120-17	(219)	(2038)
03-22-18	Buy	Jun 10 Yr Note	120-23	03-22-18	120-14	(281)	(2689)
03-21-18	Sell	Jun NZ$	7170	03-22-18	7222	(520)	(3636)
02-21-18	Sell	Mar 30 Yr Bond	143-04	02-22-18	143-03	33	113
02-14-18	Sell	Mar 5 Yr Note	114-09.25	02-16-18	114-06	51	824
02-12-18	Buy	Mar BeanMeal	351.3	02-13-18	370.5	1920	17454
02-01-18	Buy	Mar Cocoa	2013	02-05-18	2056	430	3399
01-24-18	Buy	Mar Canadian	8106	01-25-18	8091	(150)	(1049)
01-10-18	Buy	Mar Yen	8978	01-15-18	9066	1100	4444
01-09-18	Buy	Mar 10 Yr Note	123-12	01-10-18	122-31	406	3515
01-03-18	Buy	Mar Nikkei 225	23075	01-04-18	23375	1500	3846
12-26-17	Buy	Feb WTI Oil	5900	01-03-18	6109	1090	4776
12-28-17	Buy	Mar Swiss	10254	01-02-18	10343	1112	3612

Closed Positions KDelta Futures Trader

Date	Signal	Contract	Entry Price	Exit Date	Exit Price	Contract P/(L)	P/(L) $10,000 margin/Contract
				2017	YTD=	7974	27,183
12-20-17	Sell	Mar Peso	5719	12-21-17	5059	600	4958
12-19-17	Sell	Mar 10 Yr Note	123-27	12-27-17	123-22	156	1350
12-19-17	Sell	Mar Canadian$	7754	12-21-17	7826	(720)	(5950)
12-12-17	Buy	Mar NZ$	6938	12-13-17	5998	600	4196
11-30-17	Sell	Dec 10 Yr Note	124-15	12-01-17	124-24	(281)	(2431)
11-20-17	Sell	Dec 5 Yr Note	116-25.25	11-22-17	116-25.25	0	0
11-17-17	Buy	Mar Cotton	6969	11-20-17	7064	475	2159
11-13-17	Sell	Dec Aussie	7621	11-17-17	7558	630	3950
11-15-17	Sell	Dec SP mini	2563	11-15-17	2565	(100)	(202)
11-09-17	Sell	Dec Corn	342-4	11-14-17	337-4	250	3030
10-30-17	Buy	Mar Sugar	1462	11-02-17	1442	(224)	(1818)
10-20-17	Sell	Dec Swiss	10189	10-25-17	10101	1100	3703
10-20-17	Sell	Dec Canadian$	7939	10-25-17	7833	1060	8760
10-03-17	Buy	Dec Cocoa	2057	10-09-17	2059	20	125
10-06-17	Sell	Dec Yen	8863	10-06-17	8886	(250)	(909)
10-03-17	Sell	Dec NZ$	7156	10-04-17	7156	0	0
10-02-17	Sell	Dec Cotton	6786	10-03-17	6810	(120)	(545)
09-25-17	Sell	Dec Euro	11894	09-27-17	11776	1475	6385
09-15-17	Buy	Mar Sugar	1444	09-19-17	1405	(437)	(3545)
09-18-17	Buy	Dec Cocoa	2012	09-18-17	1968	(440)	(2579)
09-14-17	Buy	Dec Cocoa	2009	09-14-17	1969	(400)	(2508)
08-23-17	Sell	Dec BeanMeal	297.3	08-23-17	297.1	20	101
08-11-17	Sell	Oct mini-Oil	48.50	08-12-17	49.10	(300)	(2273)
08-09-17	Sell	Sep Nikkei	19870	08-09-17	19650	1100	2564
08-08-17	Buy	Sep mini-SP	2480.75	08-08-17	2469.75	(550)	(1190)
08-02-17	Sell	Nov Beans	983-6	08-08-17	971-0	637	2760
08-02-17	Buy	Dec Cotton	69.73	08-08-17	71.00	635	2886
08-02-17	Buy	Sep 5 Yr Note	118-10	08-04-17	118-04	(188)	(2435)
07-19-17	Sell	Sep OJ	12635	07-21-17	12830	(293)	(1662)
07-14-17	Sell	Sep OJ	12670	07-18-17	13010	(510)	(2898)
07-07-17	Buy	Oct Sugar	1407	07-10-17	1407	0	0
06-29-17	Buy	Sep NZ$	7334	07-03-17	7275	(590)	(4126)
06-27-17	Buy	Sep NZ$	7306	06-29-17	7286	(200)	(1399)
06-16-17	Buy	Dec Wheat	495-0	06-22-17	499-0	200	1515
06-20-17	Buy	Sep TBonds	156-05	06-21-17	156-04	(31)	(80)
06-16-17	Sell	Sep Coffee	12750	06-20-17	12380	1387	4671
06-13-17	Buy	Sep Cocoa	2099	06-16-17	2032	(660)	(4138)
06-13-17	Sell	Sep Nat Gas	2971	06-15-17	2990	(190)	(909)
06-13-17	Sell	Dec Cotton	7215	06-14-17	7097	590	2332
06-14-17	Sell	Sep Coffee	12765	06-14-17	12910	(544)	(1832)
06-05-17	Buy	Dec Corn	395-4	06-07-17	403-4	400	4848
06-05-17	Buy	Jun Yen	9082	06-06-17	9158	950	2878
05-24-17	Sell	Jun Peso	5367	05-30-17	5367	0	0
05-09-17	Buy	Jul Bean Meal	323.6	05-09-17	319.6	(400)	(2020)
05-04-17	Buy	Jun Euro	10979	05-09-17	10937	(500)	(1466)
05-02-17	Buy	Jul Bean Oil	3256	05-05-17	3239	(112)	(1074)
05-02-17	Buy	Jul Beans	975-0	05-02-17	967-2	(388)	(1680)
04-26-17	Sell	Jun NZ$	6872	05-01-17	6890	(180)	(1169)
04-26-17	Sell	Jun Aussie$	7464	04-27-17	7485	(210)	(1273)
04-24-17	Sell	Jul Sugar	1619	04-26-17	1559	672	5454
04-18-17	Sell	Jul Copper	25745	04-19-17	25110	1587	4655
04-18-17	Buy	Jul Coffee	14515	04-19-17	14315	(750)	(2525)
04-11-17	Buy	Jun Yen	9114	04-17-17	9225	1387	3822
04-04-17	Buy	May Silver	1834	04-04-17	1820	(700)	(1107)
04-03-17	Buy	Jun 10 Yr Note	124-29.5	04-03-17	125-05	234	1467
03-28-17	Sell	May Cocoa	2019	03-30-17	1972	470	2946
03-22-17	Sell	May Soybeans	991-6	03-24-17	980-2	575	2489
03-21-17	Sell	May SoyMeal	325.7	03-23-17	321.0	470	2373
03-01-17	Sell	Mar Pound	123.52	03-07-17	122.05	919	2481
03-01-17	Buy	Mar Dollar	101.76	03-03-17	101.76	0	0
02-27-17	Buy	Apr Platinum	1032.2	02-28-17	1034.0	90	430
02-27-17	Sell	May OJ	158.4	02-28-17	161.95	(533)	(2508)
02-23-17	Buy	Apr Gold	1246.6	02-27-17	1263.3	1770	3352
02-23-17	Buy	Mar Yen	88.84	02-27-17	88.84	0	0
02-15-17	Buy	Mar Aussie	76.90	02-23-17	76.70	(200)	(1212)
02-13-17	Buy	Mar miniRussell	1394.5	02-15-17	1389.5	(250)	(689)
02-08-17	Buy	Mar Corn	271-0	02-15-17	373-0	100	1010
02-14-17	Buy	Mar Aussie$	7690	02-14-17	7624	(640)	(3879)
02-06-17	Buy	Mar 5 Yr Note	118-08.25	02-10-17	117-31	(289)	(3090)
02-03-17	Sell	Mar Cocoa	2071	02-08-17	1994	770	4827
02-07-17	Sell	Mar Crude Oil	5158	02-08-17	5155	30	94
02-01-17	Buy	Mar Cotton	7533	02-023-17	7636	515	3121
02-02-17	Buy	Mar Crude Oil	5433	02-02-17	5340	(730)	(2289)
01-27-17	Sell	Mar Cocoa	2101	01-31-17	2134	(330)	(2069)
01-20-17	Buy	Mar Corn	369-0	01-30-17	360-0	(450)	(4545)
01-30-17	Buy	Mar Cotton	7501	01-30-17	7464	(370)	(2242)
01-04-17	Buy	Mar Cotton	7276	01-04-17	7400	620	3757
				2016	Year to Date =	$36,540=365%	$121,468
12-13-16	Sell	Mar Sugar	1880	12-14-16	1830	560	2800
12-02-16	Sell	Mar Cotton	7035	12-02-16	7131	(480)	(2400)
				December	(480)	YTD
11-17-16	Buy	Mar Cotton	7243	11-23-16	7131	(560)	(2800)
11-15-16	Sell	Mar Sugar	2107	11-17-16	2018	996	4984
11-11-16	Sell	Jan Beans	982-6	11-15-16	992-6	(500)	(1500)
11-04-16	Sell	Dec KC Wheat	409-2	11-08-16	413-6	(225)	(2250)
10-28-16	Sell	Mar Sugar	2235	11-01-16	2138	1086	5430
				November	797	YTD	5889
10-21-16	Sell	Mar Sugar	2251	10-24-16	2305	(605)	(3025)
10-17-16	Buy	Dec Soy Oil	3484	10-19-16	3505	126	1638
10-12-16	Buy	Dec Wheat	412-0	10-12-16	405-2	(338)	(2363)
10-07-16	Sell	Dec Canadian $	7532	10-07-16	7566	(340)	(2040)
				October	($5,790)	YTD	$117,204
09-23-16	Sell	Dec BeanMeal	303.8	09-27-16	299.1	470	1880
09-27-16	Buy	Nov OJ	20680	09-28-16	21125	667	2668
09-27-16	Sell	Dec Canadian $	7549	09-27-16	7595	(460)	(2760)
09-16-16	Buy	Oct Sugar	2124	09-22-16	2231	1198	7188
09-21-16	Buy	Nov Natural Gas	3149	09-22-16	3090	(590)	(2360)
09-20-16	Buy	Nov OJ	20000	09-20-16	20420	630	2520
09-08-16	Buy	Nov OJ	19455	09-12-16	19525	105	420
09-08-16	Sell	Dec 30 Yr T-Bonds	168-24	09-09-16	167-17	1219	2438
				September	$11,994	YTD	$122,994
08-29-16	Sell	Dec Cotton	6687	08-31-16	6606	405	2025
08-26-16	Sell	Dec Soy Meal	319.9	08-30-16	313.6	630	2520
08-26-16	Sell	Dec Coffee	423-6	08-29-16	410-0	688	2064
08-26-16	Sell	Sep Japanese Yen	9894	08-26-16	9819	956	1912
08-23-16	Buy	Sep New Zealand $	7329	08-26-16	7277	(520)	(1560)
08-19-16	Sell	Dec Silver	1936	08-22-16	1865	3550	3550
08-19-16	Buy	Dec Wheat	446-0	08-22-16	435-0	(550)	(3850)
08-15-16	Buy	Sep Mexican Peso	5500	08-17-16	5453	(235)	(1175)
08-16-16	Buy	Sep Japanese Yen	9950	08-16-16	10045	1187	2374
08-15-16	Buy	Dec KC Wheat	443-6	08-15-16	438-0	(287)	(2009)
08-0416	Sell	Sep Copper	21775	08-10-16	21820	(113)	(339)
08-08-16	Buy	Sep Aussie $	7662	08-10-16	7746	840	4200
08-04-16	Buy	Dec Cotton	7501	08-05-16	7791	1450	7250
07-22-16	Sell	Sep Cocoa	2895	08-01-16	2892	30	150
				August	$16,912	YTD	$111,000
07-25-16	Sell	Dec Soy Oil	3013	07-29-16	(3062)	(294)	(3528)
07-19-16	Buy	Sep Dollar	9687	07-27-16	9706	190	950
07-22-16	Sell	Sep Canadian $	7586	07-27-16	7626	(400)	(2400)
07-22-16	Sell	Sep Coffee	144.80	07-22-16	140.65	1556	4668
07-20-16	Sell	Sep WTI Crude Oil	4517.5	07-20-16	4605	(875)	(2625)
07-07-16	Sell	Aug WTI Crude Oil	4580	07-12-16	4635	(550)	(1650)
07-11-16	Buy	Dec Cotton	6665	07-12-16	6930	1325	6625
07-08-16	Buy	Sep N'Zealand$	7233	07-11-16	7193	(400)	(1200)
06-29-16	Buy	Sep Coffee	14430	07-06-16	14195	(881)	(2643)
				July	!ERROR! illegal character '$'	YTD	$94,188
06-28-16	Buy	Sep Palladium	571.5	06-30-16	594.5	2300	4600
06-24-16	Buy	Sep Dow mini	17990	06-24-16	17800	(955)	(1910)
06-09-16	Buy	Sep 10 Year Note	131-08	06-20-16	131-15	219	1314
06-02-16	Buy	Jul OJ	156.00	06-09-16	163.45	1117	4468
06-03-16	Buy	Sep 30 Year Bond	165-28	06-14-16	169-11	3469	6938
06-02-16	Sell	Sep Peso	5360	06-07-16	5386	(130)	(650)
06-02-16	Buy	Jul Wheat	485-0	06-06-16	506-4	1075	9675
				June	!ERROR! illegal character '$'	YTD =	$92,463
05-20-16	Buy	Jul Sugar	1701	05-25-16	1656	(495)	(2475)
05-24-16	Sell	Jun NewZealand$	6700	05-25-16	6735	(350)	(1400)
05-19-16	Sell	Jun mini-SP	2030.25	05-20-16	2046.00	(788)	(788)
05-18-16	Sell	Jul Nat Gas	2169	05-19-16	2109	660	1980
05-19-16	Sell	Jun NewZealand$	6703	05-19-16	6754	(510)	(1530)
05-19-16	Sell	Jul Bean Oil	3200	05-19-16	3109	546	6552
04-29-16	Sell	Jun US $	9361	05-02-16	9251	1000	5000
04-29-16	Buy	Jun Peso	5810	05-02-16	5745	(325)	(1625)
				May	!ERROR! illegal character '$'	YTD =	$68,028
04-19-16	Buy	Jun NewZealand$	6942	04-21-16	6952	100	300
04-20-16	Buy	Jul Platinum	1010.4	04-21-16	1038.8	1420	4260
04-08-16	Buy	May Cotton	5948	04-08-16	6042	470	2350
04-06-16	Sell	Jun US $	9229	04-07-16	9265	(360)	(1800)
04-04-16	Buy	May Nat Gas	2033	04-05-16	1925	(1080)	(3240)
03-17-16	Buy	May Bean Oil	3278	04-05-16	3398	720	8640
04-01-16	Buy	May Cotton	5890	04-05-16	5857	(165)	(825)
				April	$9,685	YTD	$62,314
03-29-16	Buy	May Corn	372-2	03-30-16	369-2	(150)	(1500)
02-25-16	Buy	Mar Canadian $	7332	03-01-16	7426	960	4800
				March	!ERROR! illegal character '$'	YTD =	$52,629
02-26-16	Buy	May Copper	21410	02-29-16	21000	(1025)	(3075)
02-26-16	Buy	Mar NewZealand$	6741	02-26-16	6711	(300)	(900)
02-16-16	Sell	Mar Pound	14351	02-18-16	14340	69	138
02-10-16	Sell	Mar WTI Oil	2755	02-11-16	2625	1300	3900
02-10-16	Buy	Mar 30 Yr Bons	167-09	02-11-16	168-24	1,469	2938
02-08-16	Buy	Mar 10 Yr Note	130-24	02-09-16	131-14	687	4122
02-08-16	Buy	Mar 30 Yr Bond	164-08	02-08-16	165-08	1000	2000
02-05-16	Sell	Mar Nikkei	16630	02-08-16	16625	25	50
02-04-16	Sell	Mar KC Wheat	464-4	02-05-16	452-2	612	6120
02-03-16	Buy	Mar Palladium	509.15	02-05-16	505.9	(425)	(850)
01-29-16	Buy	Mar 10 Yr Note	129-09	02-04-16	130-04	844	5064
02-03-16	Sell	Mar Euro FX	11001	02-03-16	11135	1675	3350
02-03-16	Buy	Mar NewZealand$	6540	02-03-16	6640	1000	3000
01-29-16	Buy	Mar 30 Yr Bond	161-19	02-02-16	162-25	1187	2374
01-29-16	Buy	Mar 5 Yr Note	120-15.50	02-02-16	120-26.50	343	3430
01-26-16	Sell	Mar Cotton	6114	02-01-16	6190	(380)	(1900)
				February	!ERROR! illegal character '$'	YTD =	$49,329
01-29-16	Sell	Mar Swiss Franc	9822	01-29-16	9772	625	1230
01-28-16	Sell	Mar Bean Meal	268.0	01-29-16	269.6	(160)	(800)
01-22-16	Sell	Mar Swiss Franc	9875	01-28-16	9919	(550)	(1100)
01-27-16	Sell	Mar Sugar	1392	01-28-16	1343	549	2745
01-26-16	Buy	Mar Silver	1443	01-28-16	1435	(400)	(400)
01-26-16	Buy	Apr Gold	1113.8	01-27-16	1127.2	1340	1340
01-11-16	Sell	Mar Coffee	11525	01-22-16	11685	(600)	(1200)
01-15-16	Buy	Mar 30 Yr Bond	159-05	01-22-16	159-08	93	186
01-21-16	Buy	Mar US $	9976	01-21-16	9939	(470)	(2350)
01-11-16	Sell	Mar Sugar	1422	01-13-16	1434	(135)	(675)
01-08-16	Sell	Mar OJ	138.90	01-12-16	131.50	1260	5040
01-05-16	Sell	Mar Bean Oil	2966	01-11-16	2925	246	2952
01-05-16	Sell	Mar Palladium	540	01-06-16	518	2200	4400
01-04-16	Sell	Mar mini-Dow	16990	01-08-16	16348	3210	6420
01-04-16	Buy	Feb Gold	1088.4	01-07-16	1106.2	1780	1780
				January	!ERROR! illegal character '$'	YTD =	$19,568