10-02-19 Ags hit short term resistance as warned. Good exits in SS system this week.: Dec’ Pound is at risk of breaking down here: SoyOil, Coffee & Cotton setting up for Sells.
10-01-19 Ags continued their 2nd day of a significant price surge, closing in on 1st strong resistance. SoyMeal nearing safe 310 exit.
09-30-19 Long Cocoa, Wheat Soybeans: short precious metals & Oil.. Our RSI model also has a bias to expect a break higher in Treasuries, Euro-Dollars and Soybeans, while having a bias for lower breakdown in NZ$, Aussie, Swiss, SP (stock indices), Copper and Coffee. Deflationary – slow economy – higher US Dollar is exerting pressure on commodities, while hope for a China deal is pushing Ags higher.
Trading Models:
P/(L) per $10,000 uses multiplier so all trades are of equal margin per $10,000 investment)
See our Risk Disclaimer at the bottom. Note that familiarity with Futures Trading is assumed for readers. Order entry dates, the name of the commodity futures contract, the Exit price (or TBD=to be determined) as well as the trailing stops are all identified. All entry price signals and trailing stops displayed are assumed to be Stop orders at that price and all Exit prices are assumed to be Limit orders, unless otherwise noted. Limit Order=buy or sell a security or commodity at a specified price or better: Stop Order= buy or sell once the price of the commodity reaches a specified price, known as the stop price. When the stop price is reached, a stop order becomes a market order to execute at current price. P=profit & (L)= loss. A P/(L) is shown for both a single quantity futures contract order as well as a theoretical order using $10,000 for the Order of the specified commodity futures contract. The Futures Contract month is abbreviated: Jan=January—Dec=December
KDelta Futures Trader is a proprietary short term breakout model created in the 1980’s that generates about 7 trades a month. Readers should periodically check this site for updates as not all updates generate email notifications.
Open Positions KDelta Futures Trader
| Date | Signal | Contract | Entry Stop | Exit (Limit) | Trailing stop |
Pending Signals KDelta Futures Trader
| Stop Order | Contract | Entry Stop | Exit limit | Trailing Stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sell | Dec SoyOil | 2880 | 2842 | 2911 |
2019 KDelta Futures Trader Closed Positions
| Entry Date | Contract | Entry Price | Exit Date | Price | Single contract P/(L) 12,316 | $10,000 Margin/trade P/(L) $79,176 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01-19 | Dec SoyMeal | 304 | 10-02-19 | 305.1 | 120 | 826 |
| 09-30-19 | Dec NZ$ | 6268 | 10-01-19 | 6220 | 520 | 7576 |
| 09-30-19 | Dec KCWheat | 414 | 09-30-19 | 420 | 300 | 1881 |
| 09-02-19 | Sep Can$ | 7500 | 09-03-19 | 7499 | 10 | 90 |
| 09-03-19 | Dec 10 YrNote | 132-06 | 09-04-19 | 131-30 | (250) | (1748) |
| 08-30-19 | Dec KCWheat | 397-4 | 09-03-19 | 388-4 | 450 | 2821 |
| 08-29-19 | Sep Euro | 11065 | 09-03-19 | 10958 | 1237 | 6080 |
| 08-28-19 | Dec SoyMeal | 295.4 | 08-28-19 | 296 | (60) | (413) |
| 08-26-19 | Dec Silver | 1750 | 08-27-19 | 1792 | 2100 | 4656 |
| 08-26-19 | Dec Gold | 1545.4 | 08-26-19 | 1537.2 | (820) | (1657) |
| 08-23-19 | Dec SoyMeal | 295.8 | 08-26-19 | 297.3 | (150) | (895) |
| 08-13-19 | Nov NatGas | 2214 | 08-22-19 | 2215 | 10 | 55 |
| 08-05-19 | Dec Cotton | 5900 | 08-22-19 | 5906 | 30 | 103 |
| 08-08-19 | Dec Euro | 11200 | 08-15-19 | 11124 | 950 | 4318 |
| 08-13-19 | Dec Dollar | 9755 | 08-15-19 | 9797 | 420 | 2314 |
| 08-08-19 | Dec SoyOil | 2925 | 08-13-19 | 2967 | 252 | 4675 |
| 08-13-19 | Sep Yen | 9534 | 08-13-19 | 9508 | (325) | (1641) |
| 08-12-19 | Sep KCWheat | 409-4 | 08-12-19 | 398-4 | 550 | 3448 |
| 08-06-19 | Dec SoyOil | 2796 | 08-08-19 | 2864 | (408) | (2810) |
| 08-02-19 | Sep OJ | 9900 | 08-05-19 | 9620 | 420 | 3030 |
| 08-05-19 | Sep KCWheat | 416-6 | 08-05-19 | 421-4 | (237) | (1489) |
| 08-05-19 | Nov Soybeans | 865 | 08-05-19 | 865 | 0 | 0 |
| 07-31-19 | Nov Soybeans | 889 | 08-01-19 | 862 | 1350 | 8451 |
| 07-30-19 | Nov Soybeans | 890-4 | 07-31-19 | 898-4 | (400) | (1827) |
| 07-29-19 | Dec SoyMeal | 310.5 | 08-01-19 | 303.3 | 720 | 4959 |
| 07-23-19 | Sep Coffee | 104.40 | 07-24-19 | 101.00 | 1275 | 3864 |
| 07-15-19 | Oct Sugar | 1224 | 07-17-19 | 1184 | 448 | 4270 |
| 07-03-19 | Sep TBond | 155-30 | 07-05-19 | 156-10 | 312 | 1184 |
| 07-02-19 | Sep 10 YrNote | 128-06 | 07-05-19 | 128-05 | (31) | (219) |
| 07-01-19 | Sep KCWheat | 452 | 07-03-19 | 431-4 | 1025 | 6426 |
| 07-03-19 | Sep 10 YrNote | 128-06 | 07-03-19 | 128-05.5 | (16) | (135) |
| 07-01-19 | Dec SoyMeal | 317.7 | 07-02-19 | 309.5 | 820 | 5647 |
| 06-26-19 | Nov Soybeans | 923 | 06-27-19 | 908-6 | 710 | 3243 |
| 06-25-19 | Nov Soybeans | 922-6 | 06-26-19 | 922-0 | 37 | 171 |
| 06-18-19 | Sep 10 Year | 127-16 | 06-20-19 | 128-08 | 750 | 6494 |
| 06-07-19 | Sep Cocoa | 2466 | 06-17-19 | 2466 | 60 | 287 |
| 06-12-19 | Sep Canadian$ | 7533 | 06-14-19 | 7533 | (380) | (3454) |
| 05-29-19 | Jun Canadian$ | 7407 | 05-20-19 | 7405 | 20 | 158 |
| 05-17-19 | Jun Canadian$ | 7413 | 05-20-19 | 7440 | (270) | (2134) |
| 05-13-19 | Jun Aussie$ | 6974 | 05-16-19 | 6916 | 580 | 3906 |
| 05-10-19 | Jul KCWheat | 389-2 | 05-13-19 | 589-2 | 0 | 0 |
| 05-01-19 | Jul Sugar | 1234 | 05-02-19 | 1229 | 56 | 534 |
| 05-01-19 | Jul Silver | 14.83 | 05-01-19 | 14.64 | 950 | 2617 |
| 05-01-19 | Jul Platinum | 874.6 | 05-01-19 | 881 | (270) | (1636) |
| 03-12-19 | May Coffee | 9645 | 03-13-19 | 9600 | 169 | 568 |
| 03-05-19 | May SoyOil | 2955 | 03-12-19 | 2983 | 72 | 1455 |
| 03-07-19 | Mar Aussie$ | 7021 | 03-08-19 | 7046 | 250 | (1818) |
| 03-01-19 | June 5 Yr Note | 114-14.5 | 03-04-19 | 114-10 | 140 | 1727 |
| 02-26-19 | May Corn | 376-6 | 03-01-19 | 366-6 | 500 | 6494 |
| 02-11-19 | Mar Euro | 113.50 | 02-12-19 | 113.40 | 125 | 494 |
| 02-08-19 | Mar Corn | 376-0 | 02-12-19 | 375-2 | 37 | 487 |
| 02-07-19 | Mar Euro | 113.74 | 02-08-19 | 113.74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02-04-19 | Mar Nikkei | 20930 | 02-07-19 | 20680 | (750) | (1339) |
| 02-01-19 | Mar SoyMeal | 310.0 | 02-01-19 | 312.0 | 200 | 1515 |
| 02-01-19 | Mar Soybean | 921-0 | 02-01-19 | 917-0 | (200) | (1039) |
| 01-31-19 | Mar Cotton | 7456 | 02-01-19 | 7394 | (310) | (1064) |
| 01-17-19 | Mar Cotton | 7382 | 01-18-19 | 7385 | 15 | 50 |
| 01-09-19 | Mar Euro | 11576 | 01-11-19 | 11546 | (375) | (1482) |
| 01-08-19 | Mar Coffee | 10400 | 01-08-19 | 10420 | 75 | 252 |
2018 Closed Positions: Futures Trader
| Date | Signal | Contract | Entry Price | Exit Date | Exit Price | Contract P/(L) | P/(L) $10,000 margin/contract |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total= | $30,880 | $136,337 | |||||
| 12-20-18 | Sell | Mar Cotton | 7645 | 12-24-18 | 7255 | 1950 | 6690 |
| 12-17-18 | Sell | Feb Crude Oil | 4950 | 12-19-18 | 4630 | 3200 | 6806 |
| 12-17-18 | Sell | Feb Hogs | 6385 | 12-21-18 | 6140 | 580 | 3906 |
| 12-11-18 | Buy | Mar US$ | 9693 | 12-17-18 | 9675 | (180) | (992) |
| 11-20-18 | Sell | Jan WTI Oil | 5490 | 11-20-18 | 5290 | 2000 | 5122 |
| 11-20-18 | Sell | Dec Nikkei | 21490 | 11-20-18 | 21410 | 400 | 769 |
| 11-08-18 | Sell | Dec Canadian$ | 7598 | 11-16-18 | 7591 | 70 | 553 |
| 11-09-18 | Sell | Dec SoyMeal | 2775 | 11-16-18 | 2782 | (42) | (764) |
| 11-08-18 | Buy | Dec Cotton | 8157 | 11-08-18 | 8060 | (485) | (1664) |
| 11-01-18 | Buy | Dec Cocoa | 2280 | 11-01-18 | 2231 | (490) | (2344) |
| 10-26-18 | Buy | Dec Cocoa | 2231 | 10-29-18 | 2231 | 0 | 0 |
| 10-26-18 | Sell | Dec Copper | 27175 | 10-26-18 | 27450 | (687) | (2016) |
| 10-24-18 | Sell | Dec KCWheat | 504-0 | 10-26-18 | 27535 | 312 | 2185 |
| 10-24-18 | Sell | Dec Wheat | 505-0 | 10-25-18 | 486-0 | 950 | 6909 |
| 10-24-18 | Sell | Dec Copper | 27255 | 10-25-18 | 27535 | (700) | (2053) |
| 10-23-18 | Buy | Dec Gold | 1237 | 10-23-18 | 1234 | (300) | (802) |
| 09-24-18 | Buy | Nov HeatOil | 202740 | 09-28-18 | 23495 | 3171 | 7586 |
| 09-21-18 | Buy | Nov UnGas | 20221 | 09-28-18 | 20980 | 3188 | 7245 |
| 09-21-18 | Buy | Nov WTI Oil | 7075 | 09-26-18 | 7149 | 370 | 2170 |
| 09-21-18 | Buy | Nov HeatOil | 22306 | 09-25-18 | 23100 | 3335 | 7978 |
| 09-20-18 | Buy | Dec miniSP | 2917.25 | 09-23-18 | 2925 | 387 | 646 |
| 09-21-18 | Buy | Nov WTI Oil | 7130 | 09-21-18 | 7030 | (500) | (1466) |
| 09-21-18 | Buy | Nov UnGas | 20250 | 09-21-18 | 19950 | (1260) | (2864) |
| 09-14-18 | Sell | Dec BeanOil | 2767 | 09-20-18 | 2750 | 102 | 1545 |
| 09-19-18 | Buy | Nov WTI Oil | 7090 | 09-20-18 | 7020 | (350) | (2053) |
| 09-17-18 | Sell | Dec Corn | 349-2 | 09-20-18 | 347-2 | 100 | 1136 |
| 09-18-18 | Sell | Dec Cotton | 8055 | 09-18-18 | 7855 | 1000 | 3430 |
| 09-12-18 | Sell | Dec BeanOil | 2800 | 09-13-18 | 2795 | 30 | 455 |
| 09-11-18 | Buy | Nov mini Oil | 7055 | 09-13-18 | 6890 | (825) | (3947) |
| 09-07-18 | Sell | Dec Aussie | 7169 | 09-11-18 | 7097 | 700 | 5091 |
| 08-15-18 | Sell | Oct Oil | 6509 | 08-17-18 | 6509 | 0 | 0 |
| 08-10-18 | Sell | Sep Aussie | 7313 | 08-16-18 | 7285 | 280 | 2036 |
| 08-14-18 | Sell | Sep Copper | 26730 | 08-15-18 | 25950 | 1950 | 6331 |
| 08-09-18 | Sell | Sep NZ$ | 6689 | 08-10-18 | 6573 | 1160 | 9583 |
| 08-09-18 | Sell | Sep Euro | 11564 | 08-14-18 | 11454 | 1375 | 5495 |
| 08-06-18 | Sell | Sep Euro | 11582 | 08-08-18 | 11644 | (775) | (3063) |
| 07-31-18 | Sell | Oct Sugar | 1079 | 07-31-18 | 1051 | 313 | 2995 |
| 07-09-18 | Sell | Aug NatGas | 2859 | 07-17-18 | 2766 | 930 | 7045 |
| 07-12-18 | Sell | Sep Swiss | 10055 | 07-16-18 | 10055 | 0 | 0 |
| 06-22-18 | Buy | Aug NatGas | 2945 | 06-28-18 | 2995 | 500 | 3788 |
| 05-30-18 | Buy | Jul Coffee | 12145 | 06-01-18 | 12413 | 1005 | 4350 |
| 05-22-18 | Buy | Jul NatGas | 2901 | 05-29-18 | 2922 | 210 | 1590 |
| 05-23-18 | Buy | Jul Corn | 408-0 | 05-25-18 | 404-4 | (175) | (2210) |
| 05-21-18 | Buy | Jul Oil | 7235 | 05-23-18 | 7167 | (680) | (2523) |
| 05-22-18 | Buy | Jun miniSP | 2741 | 05-22-18 | 2728 | (650) | (1094) |
| 05-21-18 | Buy | Jun NZ$ | 6935 | 05-22-18 | 6935 | 0 | 0 |
| 05-14-18 | Buy | Jun NatGas | 2845 | 05-16-18 | 2825 | (200) | (1515) |
| 05-09-18 | Sell | Jul Cocoa | 2729 | 05-09-18 | 2754 | (250) | (1337) |
| 05-04-18 | Buy | Jul Cotton | 8583 | 05-07-18 | 8633 | 250 | 1136 |
| 05-03-18 | Buy | Jul Corn | 406-4 | 05-07-18 | 403-2 | (163) | (2052) |
| 04-25-18 | Sell | Jun NZ$ | 7165 | 05-02-18 | 7012 | 1530 | 10699 |
| 04-30-18 | Buy | Jun Corn | 401-2 | 05-01-18 | 402-0 | 37 | 473 |
| 04-27-18 | Buy | Jun Jul BeanMeal | 394.4 | 04-30-18 | 394.4 | 0 | 0 |
| 04-25-18 | Sell | Jun Euro | 12255 | 04-27-18 | 12139 | 1450 | 6277 |
| 04-25-18 | Buy | Jun US$ | 9052 | 04-27-18 | 9164 | 1120 | 6171 |
| 03-23-18 | Sell | Jun Nikkei | 20515 | 03-24-18 | 20560 | (250) | (480) |
| 03-23-18 | Sell | Jun Nikkei | 20500 | 03-23-18 | 20415 | 425 | 816 |
| 03-22-18 | Buy | Jun 10 Yr Note | 120-24 | 03-22-18 | 120-17 | (219) | (2038) |
| 03-22-18 | Buy | Jun 10 Yr Note | 120-23 | 03-22-18 | 120-14 | (281) | (2689) |
| 03-21-18 | Sell | Jun NZ$ | 7170 | 03-22-18 | 7222 | (520) | (3636) |
| 02-21-18 | Sell | Mar 30 Yr Bond | 143-04 | 02-22-18 | 143-03 | 33 | 113 |
| 02-14-18 | Sell | Mar 5 Yr Note | 114-09.25 | 02-16-18 | 114-06 | 51 | 824 |
| 02-12-18 | Buy | Mar BeanMeal | 351.3 | 02-13-18 | 370.5 | 1920 | 17454 |
| 02-01-18 | Buy | Mar Cocoa | 2013 | 02-05-18 | 2056 | 430 | 3399 |
| 01-24-18 | Buy | Mar Canadian | 8106 | 01-25-18 | 8091 | (150) | (1049) |
| 01-10-18 | Buy | Mar Yen | 8978 | 01-15-18 | 9066 | 1100 | 4444 |
| 01-09-18 | Buy | Mar 10 Yr Note | 123-12 | 01-10-18 | 122-31 | 406 | 3515 |
| 01-03-18 | Buy | Mar Nikkei 225 | 23075 | 01-04-18 | 23375 | 1500 | 3846 |
| 12-26-17 | Buy | Feb WTI Oil | 5900 | 01-03-18 | 6109 | 1090 | 4776 |
| 12-28-17 | Buy | Mar Swiss | 10254 | 01-02-18 | 10343 | 1112 | 3612 |
Trading Model: KDelta SS (Exits are determined in closing & opening minutes)
KDelta SS Open Trades
| Date | Order | Entry | Exit | Stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03-19 | Buy Dec Cocoa | 2245 | 2586 | 2442 |
KDelta SS Closed Trades 2018
| Date | Order | Entry | Exit Date | Price | P/(L) per contract | Profit per $10,000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD = | $35,379 | $197,257 | ||||
| 12-04-18 | Sell NZ$ | 6933 | 12-16-18 | 6796 | 1370 | 8896 |
| 11-30-18 | Buy Feb Gold | 1226 | 12-11-18 | 1249.8 | 2380 | 6364 |
| 11-16-18 | Buy Dec Copper | 27460 | 11-20-18 | 27790 | 825 | 2419 |
| 10-23-18 | Sell Dec BeanOil | 2917 | 11-01-18 | 2834 | 498 | 9054 |
| 10-24-18 | Buy Dec 10Yr Note | 118-08 | 10-31-18 | 118-21 | 406 | 3517 |
| 10-23-18 | Sell Dec NatGas | 3000 | 10-30-18 | 3250 | 500 | 2331 |
| 10-24-18 | Buy Dec 30Yr Bond | 138-05 | 10-30-18 | 138-24 | 594 | 2347 |
| 10-23-18 | Buy Dec Aussie | 7085 | 10-24-18 | 7071 | (140) | (1018) |
| 10-23-18 | Buy Dec 10yr Note | 118-10 | 10-23-18 | 118-13 | 93 | 808 |
| 09-28-18 | Buy Dec Coffee | 9915 | 10-15-18 | 11915 | 7500 | 30,300 |
| 08-31-18 | Sell Dec Hogs | 5400 | 09-04-18 | 5525 | (500) | (3788) |
| 08-10-18 | Sell Dec BeanOil | 2884 | 08-17-18 | 2873 | 66 | 1000 |
| 07-20-18 | Buy Dec Wheat | 513-0 | 07-27-18 | 547-4 | 1,675 | 11,279 |
| 07-19-18 | Sell Sep 10 Yr Tr | 120-02 | 07-19-18 | 120-08 | (188) | (1266) |
| 07-19-18 | Buy Dec Oats | 239-2 | 07-19-18 | 235-6 | (175) | (2358) |
| 07-19-18 | Buy Sep NZ$ | 6783 | 07-19-18 | 6750 | (330) | (2727) |
| 07-0218 | Sell Sep OJ | 16140 | 07-10-18 | 16685 | 817 | 7280 |
| 06-06-18 | Buy Aug Gold | 1303.6 | 06-13-18 | 1299.6 | (400) | (1173) |
| 06-04-18 | Buy Jul Copper | 309.85 | 06-12-18 | 324.2 | 3587 | 11647 |
| 05-15-18 | Buy Jul Sugar | 1159 | 06-04-18 | 1250 | 1120 | 10697 |
| 05-20-18 | Buy Jul BeanOil | 3118 | 05-25-18 | 3140 | 132 | 2000 |
| 05-20-18 | Buy Jul Copper | 307.45 | 05-23-18 | 307.45 | 0 | 0 |
| 05-08-18 | Sell Aug LCattle | 104.475 | 05-21-18 | 100.1 | 1750 | 10606 |
| 05-08-18 | Sell Aug FCattle | 143.75 | 05-21-18 | 139.8 | 1975 | 6412 |
| 05-16-18 | Buy Jul Copper | 307.00 | 05-18-18 | 307.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 05-04-18 | Sell Jul Beans | 1037 | 05-14-18 | 1017-6 | 962 | 4730 |
| 04-12-18 | Sell Jun TBond | 145-12 | 04-27-18 | 143-07 | 2156 | 9116 |
| 04-11-18 | Sell Jun 10YrNote | 120-27 | 04-26-18 | 119-09 | 1562 | 11833 |
| 04-11-18 | Sell Jun 5YrNote | 114-078 | 04-25-18 | 113-095 | 947 | 15373 |
| 04-06-18 | Buy Jun Hogs | 7325 | 04-18-18 | 7852.5 | 2110 | 15985 |
| 04-03-18 | Buy Jun Canadian$ | 7818 | 04-12-18 | 7958 | 1400 | 11570 |
| 03-12-18 | Buy Jun Gold | 1326.7 | 03-16-18 | 1318.7 | (800) | (2346) |
| 03-12-18 | Buy Jun 10YrNote | 120-06 | 03-20-18 | 120-04 | (63) | (636) |
| 03-07-18 | Sell Jun Oil | 6075 | 03-20-18 | 6220 | (1450) | (5731) |
| 02-26-18 | Buy Jul Silver | 16.712 | 02-28-18 | 16.5 | (1060) | (2677) |
| 02-26-18 | Buy Jun Aussie$ | 7851 | 02-27-18 | 7899 | (520) | (3782) |
| 02-15-18 | Sell Jul OJ | 148.15 | 03-07-18 | 141.95 | 930 | 8611 |
| 02-20-18 | Sell Jun Swiss | 10790 | 03-05-18 | 10728 | 930 | 3019 |
| 02-13-18 | Buy Jun minSP | 2664.5 | 03-01-18 | 2684.5 | 1000 | 1683 |
| 02-02-18 | Sell Jun NZ$ | 7300 | 02-13-18 | 7270 | 300 | 2098 |
| 01-30-18 | Sell Jul Silver | 17.235 | 02-12-18 | 16.735 | 2500 | 6313 |
| 01-23-18 | Sell Jun Hogs | 84.00 | 02-01-18 | 83.00 | 400 | 3030 |
| 01-10-18 | Buy Jun Yen | 9060 | 01-18-18 | 9088 | 420 | 1909 |
Further comments form past updates:
05-06-18 As we have been saying for months, buying any $3+ dollar dip in Oil …is the strategy as Trump continues to fulfill campaign promises working toward a confrontation that drains the Iranian military swamp of petrodollars. …Oil prices are breaking out … towards our $71.7 – $75.25 target zone.
04-30-18 Oil may be overbought basis hedge funds and held back by the strong $, but we have advised buying all dips since our January newsletter expecting Trump to escalate war rhetoric with Iran into May/June.
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