Commodities Reignite the Inflation Debate

 KDelta Futures Trader Comments/Portfolio: 

09-03-26  Oil keeps ticking into the $90s on the escaaltion with Iran. Hard to imagine how this will do anything but escalate further into November. Diesel is sitting at record levels – hitting trucking prices. Commodities continue thier run higher to 18 year highs on the Iran conflict. Trump claims Oil shipments will surge soon. At least today interest rates fell. While they correlate quite well with Oil and commodity prices, they don’t move in lock step daily.

09-02-26 — Commodity prices have moved sharply higher over the past two months, led by energy and agricultural products. Although food and energy are excluded from core inflation measures because of their volatility, consumers cannot exclude them from household budgets. Their rising costs are now filtering into broader inflation—and unsettling the marginal voters Republicans need. : With tariffs adding to price pressures, AI infrastructure intensifying demand for energy, and Iran remaining an intractable adversary, the prevailing inflationary and commodity trends appear likely to persist.

 

(The KDelta Futures Trader was closed to the general public for most of 2025, but will remain open in 2026 until further notice)

[ KDelta Futures Trader Portfolio model below for Trade details of Pending, Open & Closed position tables]

Trading Models:

P/(L) per contract also displays a multiplier so all trades are of equal margin per $20,000 investment)

See our Risk Disclaimer at the bottom. Note that familiarity with Futures Trading is assumed for readers. 

 KDelta Futures Trader is a proprietary short term breakout model created in the 1980’s that generates about 3 trades a month. 

Open Trades 2026:

Entry dateCommoditySignalEntry priceExit targetStop

Closed Trades for 2026

Futures SignalEntry DateEntry PriceExit DateExit priceProfit (Loss)/contractP/(L) per $20k margin
Total$47,328$112,089
Oct Nat Gas Buy09-02-26295609-03-26296040235
Oct Nat Gas Buy08-26-26289208-28-262875(170)(1002)
Sep Canadian $ Buy08-13-26717608-14-2672093307,500
Dec Cotton Buy08-07-26830308-12-2685031,0008,536
Dec Gold Buy08-07-264288.108-07-264426.113,80012,347
Sep Palladium Buy08-04-26132808-07-2614027,40010,801
Sep Peso Buy07-31-26573608-07-2657952953,900
Sep 10 Yr ZNU26 Buy06-25-26110-0106-30-26109-30(94)(912)
Aug Unleaded RBQ Sell06-23-262.907006-29-262.9000294589
Sep Pound B6U Sell06-18-26132.0506-23-26132.502812,689
July Oil CLN26 Sell06-12-2684.0006-16-2677.506,50010,846
July BeanOil ZLN Buy05-29-2677.0006-01-2679.651,59013,766
June Aussie A6M Sell03-23-26697503-23-267001(260)(2488)
June Peso M6M Sell03-23-26550103-23-265526(125)(2,066)
May Coffee KCK Buy03-20-26301.6003-23-263035251,380
June US$ DXM26 Buy03-02-26976903-02-2698094003,659
June Peso M6M2603-02-26571903-02-26571140661
May Corn ZCK26 Buy02-23-26443.502-23-26441(125)(2,332)
Apr HeatOil HOJ2602-19-26245.5002-20-26252.903,1089,425
Mar Yen J6H26 Sell02-17-26651801-28-2664794793,165
Mar Wheat ZWH26 Buy02-12-26544.502-17-26545.550551
May Sugar SBK26 Sell02-11-2613.6602-13-2613.561122,676
Mar Corn ZCH26 Buy02-05-2643402-06-26432.5(75)(686)
Mar Coffee KCH26 Sell01-30-26340.0002-04-26313.0010,12521,072
Feb Oil CLG26 Buy12-17-2555.0801-05-2656.8818007,777

Pending Trades:

Pending Signals KDelta Futures Trader

OrderContractEntry Stop Exit limitTrailing
Stop

Closed Trades 2025

Signal entryEntry priceExit dateExit priceP/L single contract=$77,414Total P/L 2025=$125,32073% win rate
12-19-25 Buy Feb Hogs85.1012-23-2586.053802032
12-18-25 Buy Dec 10 Yr112-1812-19-25112-15(320)(1552)
12-17-25 Buy Mar Silver65.0912-17-2566.40565752717
12-15-25 Sell Mar Weat52612-16-255165002754
12-11-25 Buy Feb Gold4262.212-12-254383.2121005500
11-21-25 Buy Dec 10 Yr113-0512-05-25113-225442638
10-27-25 Sell Dec Gold402210-28-25395270003182
10-24-25 Buy Dec ES/SP6812.510-27-256888.7538123406
10-21-25 Sell Mar Sugar15.3510-22-2515.083023608
10-10-25 Buy Dec Cattle24210-22-25241(400)(1102)
10-10-25 Buy Dec T-Bond117-1710-10-25118-107813787
10-06-25 Buy Aug Feeder347.910-08-25355.6538755871
09-24-25 Sell Mar Can$725010-09-2571836706091
09-04-25 Sell Dec Weat51709-05-25522.25(263)(1449)
08-18-25 Buy Dec Cattle234.1508-27-25240.7526407273
08-01-25 Buy Sep 10 Year111-1508-08-15111-263521707
07-29-25 Buy Sep Oil68.1607-30-2570.3421804709
06-23-25 Sep Corn418.506-25-254056756296
06-18-25 Sell Jul Cotton64.5006-23-2563.684103269
06-16-25 Buy Oct NatGas396506-23-25397160114
06-05-25 Buy Sep Aussie$652406-13-256490(340)(1627)
06-02-25 Buy Jul Silver34.0206-05-2535.0350502087
05-14-25 Sell Jul Cotton65.5205-19-2565.9(190)(1515)
05-12-25 Buy Jul Hogs101.905-13-25103.0754702513
05-12-25 Sell Jul Coffee379.505-12-25373.223622387
05-06-25 Buy Jul Wheat53605-08-25531(250)(1378)
05-02-25 Buy Jul Wheat536.505-06-25529.5(350)(1928)
05-01-25 Sell Apr Gold3270.705-05-253278(930)(422)
04-25-25 Buy Jun 10 Year111-18.505-01-25112-19.510325005
04-09-25 Buy Can$711105-08-2572407106454
04-10-25 Buy Jul Meal399.704-24-25396.9(280)(1642)
04-10-25 Buy Jun Euro111.3504-11-25114.503,93713256
04-07-25 Buy Jul Corn47104-10-25481.755375009
04-04-25 Sell May Coffee366.2504-07-25350.857945855
04-03-25 Buy Jun Can$705704-03-2571508307545
03-21-25 Buy Jun Can$698703-31-256790(1,870)(17000)
03-13-25 Sell Jun Yen684004-03-2567906252029
03-12-25 Buy May Copp48803-19-25507.949755025
03-10-25 Buy Jun Swiss111.3404-03-251154,5759242
03-04-25 Buy Jun Euro105.904-03-25109.254,18714097
02-19-25 Buy Mar ES/SP6162.502-21-256123(1975)(802)
02-12-25 Sell Mar Meal293.402-14-25295.4(200)(1173)
01-06-25 Buy Jul Wheat55002-25-256022,60014325
01-02-25 Buy May UnGas223.6001-10-25233.7042428578

Closed Trades 2024:

Entry DateCommodity SignalEntryExit DateExitP/L contract=$5,091P/L per $10k=$17,982
05-24-24Buy Jul Oil77.0405-31-2477.747001062
05-24-24Sell Jul KC Wheat71405-28-241187(1000)(4329)
03-26-24Sell May Beans1207.503-28-24118710253882
03-19-24Sell June Hogs102.703-25-24102.12401454
03-14-24Sell Jun LCattle185.6503-19-24185.3120445
02-05-24Buy Mar BeanOil446102-07-2445354442018
01-16-24Sell Mar Yen690501-19-24680812124239
01-02-24Sell Mar Yen717701-09-24704516505769
01-02-24Buy Mar BeanMeal379.401-05-24375(440)(1739)

Closed Trades 2023:

Commodity
signal
Entry
date
Entry
price
Exit
date
Exit
price
Profit single
contract
$28,137
Profit $10k
margin
$63,401
Oil Dec Sell11-07-2380.6511-14-2379.451,2001,652
10 Year Mar Buy11-01-23107-0011-09-23107-299063,876
Sugar Oct Sell09-22-2327.0409-26-2326.011,1547,805
Coffee Sep Buy07-21-23158.607-24-23163.71,9122,575
Gold Aug Buy07-07-23192007-18-2319553,5003,833
Cocoa Sept Sell07-06-23336907-14-2333402901,843
Silver Sept Buy07-10-23230507-12-2324346,4506,172
Oats Dec Sell07-07-2344007-12-234191,0505,303
Peso Sept Sell07-10-23579007-12-235806(80)(520)
BeanOil Dec Sell07-10-23610507-11-232610500
HeatOil Aug Sell07-10-232578007-11-2325880(420)(516)
BeanOil Dec Sell07-06-23603507-10-236130(570)(1645)
Swiss Sept Buy06-14-23111.8606/30/23111.9050100
Euro Sept Sell05-05-23110.0005/17/23109.0012503788
Cocoa Sept Sell04-14-23288804-18-232946(580)(3687)
5 Year Sept Sell04-06-23111.0504-18-23109.233582327
Dollar June Buy04-14-23100.8504/17/23101.9010503818
NatGas May Buy04-11-23218504/12/232109(760)(1,727)
Coffee May Buy03-31-23168.604/03/23175.626253535
Wheat May Buy03-24-2367504/05/23679200649
Euro June Buy03-08-23106.1003/15/23107.1513124502
SoyMeal May Sell02/22/23154203/02/231499340014,718
Gold April Buy02/06/231876.602/09/231876.600
Crude Oil March Sell01/20/2381.7501/31/2377.903,8505,000

Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement

This Site is for informational purposes only and should be used at each individuals own discretion.  The reader of this material agrees that they are acting of their own accord and waive the Site and its directors or affiliates of any liability associated with losses or hardships which may result from using information within the Site.

Trade at your own risk. The information provided here is of the nature of a general comment only and neither purports nor intends to be, specific trading advice. It has been prepared without regard to any particular person’s investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs. Information should not be considered as an offer or enticement to buy, sell or trade.

You should seek appropriate advice from your broker, or licensed investment advisor, before taking any action. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Simulated performance results contain inherent limitations. Unlike actual performance records the results may under or over compensate for such factors such as lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses to those shown.

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