Economic data in the US and abroad slowed in March. We believe this is the pause that refreshes. Manufacturing capacity and supply chain constraints have become too extreme for production to meet demand. Limited labor and material supplies continue to elevate delays in shipments and vendor deliveries. This summary from the…
Much like mortgage debt is to home prices, equity investor margin debt is to stock prices. With the Dow rising 25% and hitting new record highs every fourth day on average during 2017, borrowings for stock purchases have been hitting new records in tandem. The Fear of excessive margin debt…
War, what’s it good for, absolutely nothing ! so goes the Motown Vietnam protest song. Investors shouldn’t be surprised that Trump is delivering on his promise to threaten Trade Wars to fix what he perceives as unfair trade decimating US business. Trump’s modus operandi is anchored in domination and alarm. It worked…
The larger service economy recovered years ago and remains strong, while the manufacturing world has only confirmed exceptional expansion rates over the the past year. The latest ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) test of 61 is impressive and usually occurs in the early to middle innings of a new economic…
After almost 2 years of poor earnings performance going into the 2016 elections, the S&P 500 Index earnings per share (EPS) has grown strongly in each of the last 5 reporting periods ending March 1st 2018. The current reports indicate that nearly 75% of companies beat both earnings and sales…
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