Has there ever been a Bull market in stocks more connected to the words of one person? Presidential palaver and Trumpian tweets frequently rule day to day market action. In recent months the words coming from the Oval Office have pushed stock prices around in a 10% range repeatedly. In…
Frequently our reports focus on the big picture of fundamental macroeconomic factors to forecast the economic risk of a contraction or acceleration. Readers know we create a plethora of proxies to determine intrinsic value based upon history, looking at loan defaults, bond spreads, labor trends, credit standards and various surveys of consumers and businesses….
Should US consumers feel consumed by the growing avalanche of negative news? There is an unending tariff war between the worlds two biggest economies, risk of a Hard Brexit impairing the UK, a US manufacturing recession and high odds of a Presidential impeachment. Reflecting this anxiety and uncertainty manifests in optimism among corporate executives…
Early stage industrial economies rely on manufacturing for the majority of their value of goods and services produced (GDP). As economies mature with rising living standards, there is a shift to consumption and services providing the vast majority of GDP and employment. One hundred years ago, less than 40% of US…
The 106 year old Federal Reserve Bank of the US controls monetary policy to influence economic conditions, primarily by moving short term bank borrowing rates and bank reserves. Surveys predict 100% confidence in a Federal Reserve Rate cut on September 18th and high odds of another cut before year end….
© 2019 Exec Spec. All Rights Reserved.
