The Dow has rallied over 3,000 points since the Christmas bottom (basis futures) and most indices are up 14 of the past 17 trading days. Financials have had their 2nd most rapid ascent in 20 years over a 15 day period. What’s more impressive is the psychology of the market…
Santa was right on time this year, but unlike last year’s not stop sleigh ride to record heights, this year he left investor stockings with lumps of coal. The major US stock market indices fell 20% on average into the Christmas day low, with a climactic 4 day plunge of 2,500…
President Trump campaigned in 2016 on making the US Dollar weak again to reduce the endless wave of record trade deficits with China. Clearly he delivered on that pledge throughout 2017 as the Dollar Index fell 12% and devalued almost 11% against the Chinese Renminbi (Yuan). While Trump delivered on…
Moribund Manufacturing data and slower growth guidance by Apple have exacerbated growing fears of recession, sending stocks plunging 3% on the January 3rd. However, exceptionally strong job growth and dovish support from Fed Chair Powell the next day sent stock soaring 4%. Making sense of the frequent news driven volatility is challenging,…
While we have been medium term Bearish on stocks and oil since early October, we published a flurry of newsletters between December 7th and 12th signaling even more trouble ahead. Our 3 Tests and a Tumble letter a couple weeks ago further detailed the markets penchant to bust through support after a price…
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