Category Archives: Oil

Oil Has Bottomed

Category: Newsletter, Oil, Speculator, Stock Market | No Comments

While a renewed intractable Trade War with China and a US recession would ruin our call for an important bottom in Oil prices in the $40’s, we feel the extreme pessimism among Money Managers in December regarding Texas Tea will provide support for Oil. The implication of this perspective is…

Read More

Frackers Trump OPEC

Category: Newsletter, Oil | No Comments

Frackers rule! The House of Saud may want to stabilize Brent Oil above $60 or $70 a barrel, but OPEC and Russia no longer control prices and haven’t since the 2015 energy recession. Every time OPEC cuts production they essentially transfer that lost output as a gift to the US. Despite our long…

Read More

Where in the World is R* and Phillips Curve Inflation?

Category: China, Global Economy, Newsletter, Oil, Speculator | No Comments

Our October report reviewed the limitations of the Phillips Curve in forecasting inflation as it relates to unemployment. Essentially economists interpretation of Phillips posit that lower unemployment equates to higher inflation. This view was created in the 1970’s post Gold/Currency Standard during the inflationary Baby Boom employment surge. Should the overall CPI rise above…

Read More

Buyer Beware in October

Category: Newsletter, Oil, Speculator, Stocks | No Comments

Often Oil prices and stocks move in the same direction. This is logical longer term when considering an expanding economy is coincidentally good for earnings of stocks as well as the rising demand for Oil to feed a growing economy. While there will be periods of divergent trends, the past…

Read More
Ready to start creating financial success? START YOUR FREE TRIAL