Where in the World is R* and Phillips Curve Inflation?

Category: China, Global Economy, Newsletter, Oil, Speculator | No Comments

Our October report reviewed the limitations of the Phillips Curve in forecasting inflation as it relates to unemployment. Essentially economists interpretation of Phillips posit that lower unemployment equates to higher inflation. This view was created in the 1970’s post Gold/Currency Standard during the inflationary Baby Boom employment surge. Should the overall CPI rise above…

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Another pre-Election Correction

Category: Newsletter, Speculator, Stock Market | No Comments

On September 28th ( ) we forecasted an October correction with this chart, warning of a parallel to the pre-election pause in October 2016. The uncertainty and contentiousness parallel to 2016 favors sideways to lower stock prices into the November 6th election. A further investment correction scare in November…

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