KDelta Selling Aussie On $ Strength

A slowing global economy and the recent Nuclear deal with Iran have pushed energy and metals prices lower and the US Dollar higher. With Australia being a commodity driven continent and adversely affected by our Dollar it’s understandable why the Aussie $ continues to fall. Our technical KDelta model has been generating repeated Sells as the Aussie has been depreciating. While our technical charts indicate this may be the last leg lower on the Aussie horizon, we would note that the near term growth outlook in the US, China and emerging markets is at the lowest levels in 6 years. Nobody we know 6 years ago forecasted that despite massive global stimulus we would still be waiting for a true recovery phase. 

Aussie July 2015

With China stock market concerns on the back burner, the Iranian Nuke deal clinched and a Greek debt bailout with austerity almost complete we should see less surprise price gaps in related commodities. The only hesitation regarding Greece is due to the IMF hinting it can’t contribute to the Greek bailout as long as there is no reduction in debt liabilities owed to Europe. The IMF MUST be on board for this deal to work. Either the IMF has to change its rules and metrics or Germany and the Eurozone would have to risk precedent setting contagion of debt reduction. Another surprise coming?

K DELTA 2015: Commodity futures trading system

Updated 07-15-15

KDelta profit YTD =$40,848 = +408% for 2015 YTD 65% winning trades

(Italic=New trades/changes since last free update)

Open positions: Entry               Exit             Stop (Loss/profit)

07-06-15 Sell A6U 7469            7294           7465

07-15-15 Sell GCQ 1143.7      1118.5       1155.9

 

Pending Signal entries using Buy or Sell Stops only (GTC or good until canceled):

Sell OJU 106.25   Exit 93 “or” Buy OJU 128.45  Exit 138

Buy E6U 114.86                  Exit 117.26

Sell GCQ 1135.2                  Exit 1054.8

Sell A6U 7327                     Exit 7252

Buy ZMZ 356.5                   Exit 365.5

Sell QMQ 5067.5               Exit 4827.5

Buy QMQ 5390                  Exit 5582.5

Sell S6U 104.93                 Exit 103.22

————

Assume a $10,000 opening account & one contract per trade/signal

Legend: Currencies: Australian $=A6, British Pound=B6, Canadian $=C6,New Zealand $=N6, Euro=E6, Yen= J6, Swiss Franc=S6, US Dollar=DX.  Ags: Corn= ZC, Wheat=ZW, Soybeans=ZS, Soybean Meal=ZM, Soybean Oil=ZL, Oats=ZO, Wheat=ZW, KC Wheat=KE. Metals: Copper=HG, Gold=GC, Silver=SI, Platinum=PL, Palladium=PA. Stock Indexes: SP 500=ES, Dow/DJIA=YM, Nasdaq=NQ, Mini-Russell 2000=TF. Softs: Cocoa=CC, Coffee=KC, Sugar=SB, Cotton=CT, Orange Juice=OJ, Lumber=LB.  Bonds: 30 Year T-Bonds=ZB, 10 Year Note=ZN, 5 Year Note=ZF. Energies: RB=Unleaded Gasoline; HO=Heating Oil; CL= Crude Oil; QM=mini-Crude Oil; NG=Natural Gas     {final-3rd– letter in symbol refers to contract month: Jan’=F; Feb’=G; Mar’=H; Apr’=J; May=K; Jun’=M; Jul’=N; Aug’=Q; Sep’=U; Oct’=V; Nov’=X; Dec’=Z}

Below: $P/(L)/contract=profit and loss of single contract trade per signal

P/L % margin= profit & loss per trade based upon margin required per contract

Profit/Loss based on $10k opening account for 2015 YTD

…………………………………………………………$ P/(L)         P/L

Date  Signal   Entry    Exit date/price  Contract  %margin

07-13-15 Buy ESU 2079.25        07-14-15  2097.75        925

07-07-15 Sell SIU 1534               07-13-15  1564          (1500)

07-06-15 Sell KCU 126.25          07-13-15  127.95         (638)

07-02-15 Sell GCQ 1162.0          07-08-15  1146.6        1540         37%

07-06-15 Sell A6U 7553              07-07-15  7402           1510         69%

07-07-15 Sell RBQ  197.13         07-07-15 198.13         (420)         (7%)

06-26-15 Buy KEZ 590-2             07-06-15 598-2            400          81%

07-02-15 Buy NGQ 2870            07-06-15  2794            (760)       (36%)

07-06-15 Sell HOQ 182.27         07-06-15  177.32         2079        37%

06-29-15 Sell HOQ 182.80        07-01-15  188.35        (2331)       (42%)

06-26-15 Sell QMQ 59.15         07-01-15  57.35            1100         47%

July results: 5 win & 3 loss = $3218

YTD 45 wins & 26 losses: Profit using single contracts= $40,848 = +408%

 

06-18-15 Buy S6U 10867          06-19-15 10847         (250)       ( 4%)

06-18-15 Buy A6U 7777            06-19-15 7711           (666)      (30%)

06-22-15 Buy NQU 4544.00     06-25-15 4512.00      (640)       (16%)

06-18-15 Buy GCQ 1191.9        06-18-15 1204.9       1300          32%

06-15-15 Buy CCU 3168            06-16-15 3225            570           52%

06-15-15 Sell CTN 63.02           06-16-15  63.31          (145)       (10%)

06-11-15 Sell SBN 11.82           06-15-15 11.51            347          39%

06-09-15 Buy RBN 208.42        06-10-15 213.41        2096          33%

06-09-15 Sell ZBU 148-18        06-10-15 147-17        1132          30%

05-26-15 Sell J6M 8199             06-05-15 7950          3112        109%

06-05-15 Sell PLN 1088.7          06-05-15 1092          (165)          (8%)

05-29-15 Buy ZFM 119-21.75   06-01-15  119-15.50  (49)           (5%)

06-01-15 Sell ZMN 301.3          06-01-15 297.3           400           19%

June results: 7 wins & 3 losses = $7042

YTD 39 wins & 21 losses =$38,843 = +388%

 

05-29-15 Buy ZNM 128-05   05-29-15 128-05            0              0

05-22-15 Sell ZSN 934-6       05-29-15 934-6               0               0

05-21-15 Sell QMN 59.1       05-26-15 58.025         537            23%

05-14-15 Buy YMM 18189   05-26-15 18185          (20)             0%

05-19-15 Sell ZSN 948-6       05-22-15  932              837           38%

05-20-15 Sell J6M 8279        05-26-15 8201             975           34%

05-20-15 Buy ESM 2120       05-26-15 2114            (300)          (6%)

05-12-15 Sell ZMN 307.4      05-13-15 302.7            470           22%

05-11-15 Buy CCN 2968        05-11-15   3010           420          38%

05-01-15 Sell KCN 134.30   50% 05-08-15 134.05   109            2%

05-04-15 Sell KCN 131.95   50% 05-08-15 134.30 (1022)      (23%)

05-05-15 Buy PAM 788.10  50% 05-08-15 801

& 50% 05-11-15  783.90                                               435           10%

04-13-15 Sell ZFM 120-00     05-05-15 119-21         344           35%

04-29-15 Buy S6M 10580      05-05-15 10805        2812           34%

04-29-15 Buy QMM 5885      05-05-15 6030            725           27%

May results: 10 wins & 2 loss  P/L= $6,052  

YTD results= 32 wins & 15 losses: P/L=$31,801 = 318%

 

04-29-15 Sell ZNM 128-18     04-30-15 127-27       718             43%

04-23-15 Buy ESM 2110         04-30-15 2090.50    (950)          (19%)

04-24-15 Sell ZCN 374-6        04-27-15 366-4          412             37%

04-16-15 Buy N6M 7639        04-23-15  7594         (450)          (19%)

04-15-15 Sell RBM 188.60     04-20-15 190.15        650             25%

04-13-15 Buy HOM 180.60    04-15-15 189.00     3528             70%

04-09-15 Sell ZMN 314.5       04-20-15 317.5         (300)          (14%)

04-09-15 Sell NGM 2632       04-16-15 2632               0                  0

03-30-15 Sell NGK 2619        04-02-15 2718           (990)            (23%)

04-02-15 Buy ZWK 540-6      04-07-15   526           (738)            (52%)

04-02-15 Buy KEK 579-4       04-07-15 564-4          (250)            (18%)

03-31-15 Sell ZOK 265-2       04-01-15 262               162              13%

April results: 5 wins & 6 losses P/L=$ 1792

YTD results=22 wins & 13 losses: P/L = $25,459 = +255%

 

03-17-15 Sell ZCK 373-4     03-20-15 377-6              (213)           (19%)

03-13-15 Sell D6H 7800     03-18-15 7921             (1210)            (66%)

03-10-15 Sell J6H 8218       03-12-15 8272               (675)            (21%)

02-12-15 Buy NQH 4342.5 03-10-15 4389.5              940              24%

02-13-15 Buy ESH 2089      03-06-15  2089                     0               0

02-26-15 Buy DXH 95.24    03-05-15  96.60             1360              82%

02-26-15 Sell E6H 112.74   03-04-15  111.28           1825             54%

02-26-15 Buy HOJ 19423    03-04-15 18823           (2520)           (50%)

March results: 3 wins & 4 losses: P/L= $(493);

YTD=17W&7L: YTD P/L=$23,667=237%

 

02-25-15  Buy RBJ 18825    02-27-15 19528             2952             52%

02-25-15 Buy A6H 7860      02-26-15  7830              (300)           (12%)

02-24-15 Buy HGK 264.10  02-26-15  270.60           1625             43%

02-17-15 Sell LBK 303.75    02-24-15 292.9              1193             68%

02-18-15 Sell OJK 133         02-23-15  129                   600             45%

02-17-15 Sell KCK 161.15    02-19-15 154.20           2606             59%

01-16-15 Sell ZSH 990-6      02-03-15 966-6             1200             44%

February results:6 wins & 1 losses:14W/3L:P/L=$9,876:YTD=$24,160=+242%

 

01-28-15 Sell QMH 4479      01-29-15  4369             550               20%

01-26-15 Sell S6H 11353      01-29-15 10891          5775               69%

01-22-15 Sell B6H 15026      01-26-15 15053          (169)               (9%)

01-13-15 Sell ZMH 336.9      01-20-15      322.2      1470               67%

01-15-15 Sell NQH 4080.5    01-16-15    4101.5      (420)            (11%)

01-12-15 Sell HOG 16714    01-13-15      16316      1671              44%

01-12-15 Sell QMG 4682     01-13-15         4545        685              37%

12-15-14  Sell HEG 83.25      01-06-15      78.17      2032            154%

01-02-15 Sell D6H 8544        01-05-15       8472        720               57%

12-30-14 Sell CLG 53.97        01-05-15       50.03     1970            105%

January results: 8 wins & 2 loss: P/L=$14,284= +143% gain on $10k account

Final results for 2014 trading single contracts per signal=$49,937 which = +250% on a $20,000 account & 500% on a $10,000 account starting value

 

 

Disclaimer and Notice:  Nothing herein, including any attachments, should be construed as an offer to sell or as a solicitation of an offer, or a recommendation, to buy any interest in any investment or other product. This may contain information on investments that are high risk and have substantial risk of principal loss.  It is for informational purposes only. Statements in this communication that are not statements of fact are merely opinions or forward looking statements from a potentially biased source(s) that involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual future results to differ materially from any prior or projected results. Statements in this communication may be inaccurate and/or unsuitable for you.  You must perform your own due diligence.  Your investment decisions should always be made based on your specific financial needs, suitability, objectives, goals, time horizon and risk tolerance.  Any decision is at your sole discretion and at your sole risk.  You are advised to consult with your individual investment and tax professionals before making any investment.  Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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