K DELTA 2015: Commodity futures trading system
Updated 05-06-15
KDelta profit =$29,340 = +293% for 2015 YTD 67% winning trades
Our KDelta model is having a great year despite a losing streak from early March to early April. Yet profits are surging with 67% of trades winning.
OIL: today we closed out our upside trade in Oil futures as inventories draw down during this seasonal period of strength we said to expect from February until May. Is the 2nd quarter top in? Quite likely, but any new highs should be contained in the $60’s.
Swiss Franc: broke out to the upside as we forecasted due to price patterns and panic rhetoric by the Swiss National Bank over fears of Greek debt flight.
5 & 10 Year Treasuries broke lower with higher interest rates as the Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen warned of the need to raise rate to quell growing bubbles. KDelta caught a portion of this move.
Current open trades in Coffee and Palladium are starting to pay off as the Dollar corrects.
Pending trades: The Yen depreciation as Japan continues printing Yen with QE will continue until signs of economic growth arrive. For now the Yen is stuck in a long term trading range until signs of economic strength or weakness arrive. A stronger Yen would add pressure on falling US stocks. Soybeans and Bean Meal both risk breaking out of their trading ranges lower following the coattails of Wheat and Corn. Planting concerns for now have held prices at current levels, but once planting risks subside and as long as $10 Soybeans hold, then we would expect new lows here.
Open positions:
05-01-15 Sell KCN 134.30 Exit 127.60 profit Stop 134.05
05-04-15 Sell KCN 131.95 Exit 117.45 Stop loss 134.30
05-05-15 Buy PAM 788.10 Exit 50%@801 & 50%@820 Stop loss 783.90
Pending Signal using Buy or Sell Stops only:[wlmprivate “Annually|Bi-Annually|Monthly|Free Trial”]
Sell J6M 8279 & 8204 or Buy J6M 8461 Exit 8591
Sell ZSN 948-6 Exit 932
Sell ZSN 934-6 Exit 903
Sell ZMN 307.4 Exit 302.7
Sell ZMN 294.3
Buy CCN 2968
[/wlmprivate]
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Assume a $10,000 opening account & one contract per trade/signal
Legend: Currencies: Australian $=A6, British Pound=B6, Canadian $=C6,New Zealand $=N6, Euro=E6, Yen= J6, Swiss Franc=S6, US Dollar=DX. Ags: Corn= ZC, Wheat=ZW, Soybeans=ZS, Soybean Meal=ZM, Soybean Oil=ZL, Oats=ZO, Wheat=ZW, KC Wheat=KE. Metals: Copper=HG, Gold=GC, Silver=SI, Platinum=PL, Palladium=PA. Stock Indexes: SP 500=ES, Dow/DJIA=YM, Nasdaq=NQ, Mini-Russell 2000=TF. Softs: Cocoa=CC, Coffee=KC, Sugar=SB, Cotton=CT, Orange Juice=OJ, Lumber=LB. Bonds: T-Bonds=ZB, 10 Year Note=ZN, 5 Year Note=ZF. Energies: RB=Unleaded Gasoline; HO=Heating Oil; CL= Crude Oil; QM=mini-Crude Oil
Below: $P/(L)/contract=profit and loss of single contract trade per signal
P/L % margin= profit & loss per trade based upon margin required per contract
Profit/Loss based on $10k account for 2015 YTD
$ P/(L) P/L
Date Signal Entry Exit date/price Contract %margin
04-13-15 Sell ZFM 120-00 05-05-15 119-21 344 35%
04-29-15 Buy S6M 10580 05-05-15 10805 2812 34%
04-29-15 Buy QMM 5885 05-05-15 6030 725 27%
May results: 3 wins $3,881 YTD=$29,340 = 293%
04-29-15 Sell ZNM 128-18 04-30-15 127-27 718 43%
04-23-15 Buy ESM 2110 04-30-15 2090.50 (950) (19%)
04-24-15 Sell ZCN 374-6 04-27-15 366-4 412 37%
04-16-15 Buy N6M 7639 04-23-15 7594 (450) (19%)
04-15-15 Sell RBM 188.60 04-20-15 190.15 650 25%
04-13-15 Buy HOM 180.60 04-15-15 189.00 3528 70%
04-09-15 Sell ZMN 314.5 04-20-15 317.5 (300) (14%)
04-09-15 Sell NGM 2632 04-16-15 2632 0 0
03-30-15 Sell NGK 2619 04-02-15 2718 (990) (23%)
04-02-15 Buy ZWK 540-6 04-07-15 526 (738) (52%)
04-02-15 Buy KEK 579-4 04-07-15 564-4 (250) (18%)
03-31-15 Sell ZOK 265-2 04-01-15 262 162 13%
April results: 5 wins & 6 losses P/L=$ 1792
YTD results=22 wins & 13 losses: P/L = $25,459 = +255%
03-17-15 Sell ZCK 373-4 03-20-15 377-6 (213) (19%)
03-13-15 Sell D6H 7800 03-18-15 7921 (1210) (66%)
03-10-15 Sell J6H 8218 03-12-15 8272 (675) (21%)
02-12-15 Buy NQH 4342.5 03-10-15 4389.5 940 24%
02-13-15 Buy ESH 2089 03-06-15 2089 0 0
02-26-15 Buy DXH 95.24 03-05-15 96.60 1360 82%
02-26-15 Sell E6H 112.74 03-04-15 111.28 1825 54%
02-26-15 Buy HOJ 19423 03-04-15 18823 (2520) (50%)
March results: 3 wins & 4 losses: P/L= $(493);
YTD=17W&7L: YTD P/L=$23,667=237%
02-25-15 Buy RBJ 18825 02-27-15 19528 2952 52%
02-25-15 Buy A6H 7860 02-26-15 7830 (300) (12%)
02-24-15 Buy HGK 264.10 02-26-15 270.60 1625 43%
02-17-15 Sell LBK 303.75 02-24-15 292.9 1193 68%
02-18-15 Sell OJK 133 02-23-15 129 600 45%
02-17-15 Sell KCK 161.15 02-19-15 154.20 2606 59%
01-16-15 Sell ZSH 990-6 02-03-15 966-6 1200 44%
February results:6 wins & 1 losses:14W/3L:P/L=$9,876:YTD=$24,160=+242%
01-28-15 Sell QMH 4479 01-29-15 4369 550 20%
01-26-15 Sell S6H 11353 01-29-15 10891 5775 69%
01-22-15 Sell B6H 15026 01-26-15 15053 (169) (9%)
01-13-15 Sell ZMH 336.9 01-20-15 322.2 1470 67%
01-15-15 Sell NQH 4080.5 01-16-15 4101.5 (420) (11%)
01-12-15 Sell HOG 16714 01-13-15 16316 1671 44%
01-12-15 Sell QMG 4682 01-13-15 4545 685 37%
12-15-14 Sell HEG 83.25 01-06-15 78.17 2032 154%
01-02-15 Sell D6H 8544 01-05-15 8472 720 57%
12-30-14 Sell CLG 53.97 01-05-15 50.03 1970 105%
January results: 8 wins & 2 loss: P/L=$14,284= +143% gain on $10k account
Final results for 2014 trading single contracts per signal=$49,937 which = +250% on a $20,000 account & 500% on a $10,000 account starting value
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