KDelta Futures Trading Model Update: Profit 174%

March 4, 2016 Premium Advice No Comments

KDelta profit YTD=$17,379=174%

YTD 22 wins & 10 losses = 69% winning trades

***{Please note there will be no new updates until the week of March 24th. If you are following the current Gold trade we will not be able to provide updates. We advise exiting or keeping a very tight trailing stop while the trade is currently profitable and we will update the model later in March.}

We welcome unprofitable trades, but the highest degree of frustration occurs when excellent trades are stopped out prematurely. Below we show our 2 most recent losses in an otherwise very profitable year once again. On February 26th we had Buy signals in May Copper (HGK) and the March New Zealand Dollar (N6H). Both trades were stopped out within a day of entry only to immediately bottom and rally strongly to our targets. Few traders will reveal the entry, exits and stops prior to the arrival of a signal as we do. Our analysis was correct, but our money management stops in this case were too aggressive. The Peso and Aussie Dollar also gave unofficial Buy signals. All of these trades along with higher Oil, Gold and the Canadian $ are signs of the commodity rebound we are starting to see.

copper 3-4-16

New Zealand $ 3-16

Closed Positions Kdelta Futures Investor

DateTradeEntry PriceTrade Exit DateExit PriceProfit (Loss)P/(L) $10K
Margin/Trade
YTD=
$20.087
YTD=
$78,587
12-06-17Buy Mar Coffee1268012-07-1712470(788)(3411)
12-03-17Buy Mar Wheat44012-06-17430(500)(4785)
11-27-17Buy Mar Sugar154112-06-171475(739)(7058)
11-14-17Buy Mar Yen885812-04-1789055872136
11-08-17Buy Mar Cocoa215011-14-17215000
10-26-17Buy Dec Cocoa213011-02-172062(680)(4263)
10-30-17Buy Mar Sugar147011-02-171444(291)(2390)
10-03-17Buy Mar Sugar143110-20-171415(179)(1453)
10-11-17Buy Dec Cocoa210210-16-172055(470)(2947)
10-11-17Buy Dec Coffee1266010-16-1712510(563)(1896)
09-14-17Buy Dec Cocoa198010-05-171963(170)(1066)
09-15-17Buy Jan OJ1481509-22-1714820743
09-18-17Sell Dec Aussie799909-20-178050(510)(3197)
09-15-17Sell Mar Sugar14.8509-18-1714.8956454
08-01-17Sell Dec NZ$74.7009-18-1773.24146010,210
09-07-17Sell Dec Aussie80.3509-08-1780.75(400)(2508)
07-26-17Sell Dec Peso556008-15-1756152251515
08-08-17Buy Jan OJ133.108-22-17133,15742
07-26-17Buy Dec Coffee134.7008-15-17139.3017255808
08-01-17Buy Dec Cotton69.2608-15-1767.50(880)(4000)
07-28-17Buy Mar Sugar15.0608-15-1713.95(1243)(10089)
06-21-17Buy Dec Cocoa190108-14-1719363502194
03-15-17Buy Jun !0 Yr Note123-0806-14-17126-22343724,038
05-01-17Buy Dec Wheat483-205-08-17469-2(700)(6364)
04-24-17Sell Jul Cotton795504-26-177064(45)(273)
03-02-17Buy Jul Cocoa189704-10-1719848705454
03-21-17Buy Jun Pound1240004-10-171240000
02-16-17Sell May Meal351.804-10-17311.4404020404
02-21-17Sell WTI Oil55.4104-05-1752.00304110239
01-03-17Sell Jun Heating175.9704-03-17159.007127 19340
02-14-17 Buy Mar 10 Yr124-0902-28-17124-22406 2436
02-15-17 Buy May Cocoa195002-22-17195000
02-08-17 Buy May Corn378-002-21-17375-0(150) (1500)
01-27-17 Buy May Corn370-401-27-17367-4(150) (1500)
01-19-17 Buy Mar 30 Yr Bond115-1601-26-17149-06(2313) (4626)
10-20-16 Buy Apr Liv Cattle100.101-10-17118.97520 37600
489%2016=
$146,808
2016=
$290,748
12-16-16 Buy Mar Cocoa 219012-22-16219000
12-13-16 Buy Mar Wheat 417-212-22-16398-6(925)(8325)
12-13-16 Buy Mar Corn 364-212-22-16348(613)(6130)
10-21-16 Sell Mar Sugar 227112-02-161905409920485
10-04-16 Sell Feb Gold 1309.011-25-161181.01280012800
08-24-16 Sell Mar Yen 1004411-25-1688601485029700
10-27-16 Sell Mar Soy Oil 354411-23-163599(324)(3888)
10-20-16 Sell Feb Oil 516411-17-164770394011820
08-15-16 Buy Dec KC Wheat 444-0 08-26-16 423-6 (1013)(10130)
08-19-16 Buy Dec Wheat 446-008-24-16 425-2 (1038)(9342)
08-09-16 Sell Dec Cotton 7550 08-19-16 6850 15507750
07-07-16 Sell Sep Heat Oil 14385 08-05-16 12959 598911978
07-15-16 Sell Oct Sugar 1936 08-04-16 1953 (190)(950)
08-02-16 Buy Sep Pound13313 08-04-16 13209 (676)(1352)
07-12-16 Sell Sep Yen9703 07-29-16 9700 3774
06-08-16 Buy Sep Coffee 13990 07-25-16 14000 3774
02-08-16 Buy Sep Yen8686 07-12-16 9704 1272525450
06-29-16 Sell Dec Soy Oil3141 07-12-16 3120 1261512
07-07-16 Sell Oct Sugar2017 07-11-16 2017 00
06-21-16 Sell Dec Corn 426-4 07-08-16 360-0 332516625
03-11-16 Buy Nov Soybeans 898-4 07-06-16 1067-6 846225386
06-23-16 Sell Oct Sugar 1908 06-29-16 2023 (1288)(6440)
06-24-16Sell Nov Soybeans 1097-0 06-28-16 1108-2 (563)(1689)
03-24-16 Buy Dec Bean Meal 281.3 06-24-16 375.6 943047150
05-26-16 Buy Dec Corn409-0 06-21-16 426-4 8758750
06-02-16 Buy Dec Wheat 512-0 06-21-16502-4 (475)(4275)
05-18-16 Sell Jul Silver 1679 06-08-16 1672 350350
05-24-16Sell Aug Gold 1230.4 06-03-16 1237.4 (700)(700)
02-25-16 Buy Jun Canadian$ 7328 05-18-16 7695 3,67518375
04-25-16 Buy Jun Pound 14520 05-11-16 14474 (288)(576)
04-27-16 Sell Jul Bean Oil3340 05-09-16 3342 (12)(144)
04-01-16 Buy Jul Cotton5882 05-05-16 6205 1,6158075
04-15-16 Buy Jul Corn378-4 05-05-16 372-0 ($325)(3250)
03-01-16 Buy Jun Peso5521 05-04-16 5643 $6103050
03-02-16 Buy Jun Aussie 7222 04-27-16 7595 $3,73014920
04-19-16 Buy Jun Nat Gas 2165 04-27-16 2120 ($900)(2700)
04-19-16 Buy Jul Wheat 486-4 04-22-16 487-0 $25225
04-20-16 Buy Jul KC Wheat 500-2 04-22-16 485-4 ($738)(7380)
03-31-16Sell Jul Sugar 1559 04-18-16 1528 347.21736
02-17-16 Buy May Lumber 251.6 04-14-16 285.9 529531770
03-30-16Buy Jun Swiss 10406 04-13-16 10406 00
03-31-16 Buy Jun Euro11414 04-13-16 11348 ($825)(1650)
04-01-16 Sell Jun Unleaded 13721 04-08-16 13721 00
04-04-16 Buy Jun Nat Gas 2133 04-06-16 2021 (1120)(3360)
03-03-16 Buy Jun Palladium 532.2 04-05-16 549.6 17403480
01-04-16 Sell Jul Cotton 64.10 04-01-16 58.82 262513125
03-04-16 Buy Jun WTI Oil 385304-01-16 3863 100300
03-11-16 Buy Jul Coffee 127.70 03-31-16 12770 00
02-26-16 Buy Jul Copper21440 03-30-16 22085 16124836
03-04-16 Buy Jun Heat Oil 11305 03-29-16 11615 13022604
02-03-16 Buy May Silver 1463 03-24-16 1519 28002800
01-06-16 Buy Jun Gold1089.7 03-23-161227.2 1375013750
01-08-16 Buy Jun 5 Yr Note118-26 03-01-16 120-22 187518750
12-17-15 Sell Jul Cocoa3265 02-24-16 2928 16858425
02-09-16 Buy Jun Swiss10304 02-12-16 10282 (283)(566)
01-26-16 Buy Jul Wheat 495-0 02-04-16 482-0 (650)(5850)
01-27-16 Sell Jul Sugar 1350 02-23-16 1338 138690
02-03-16 Buy Mar Euro11089 02-18-16 11099 115230
12-24-15 Buy Jun Yen 8348 01-29-16 8442 96 12002400

Pending Signals KDelta Futures Trader

Stop OrderContractEntry StopExit limitTrailing
Stop

$=N6 or 6N, Euro=E6 or 6E, Yen= J6 or 6J, Swiss Franc=S6 or 6S, US Dollar=DX.  Ags: Corn= ZC, Soybeans=ZS, Soybean Meal=ZM, Soybean Oil=ZL, Oats=ZO, Wheat=ZW, KC Wheat=KE. Metals: Copper=HG, Gold=GC, mini-Gold= YG, Silver=SI, Platinum=PL, Palladium=PA. Stock Indexes: SP 500=ES, Dow/DJIA=YM, Nasdaq=NQ, Mini-Russell 2000=TF, Nikkei=NKE. Softs: Cocoa=CC or CO, Coffee=KC, Sugar=SB, Cotton=CT, Orange Juice=OJ, Lumber=LB.  Bonds: 30 Year T-Bonds=ZB, 10 Year Note=ZN, 5 Year Note=ZF. Energies: RB=Unleaded Gasoline; HO=Heating Oil; CL= Crude Oil; QM=mini-Crude Oil; NG=Natural Gas     {final or 3rd– letter in symbol refers to contract month: Jan’=F; Feb’=G; Mar’=H; Apr’=J; May=K; Jun’=M; Jul’=N; Aug’=Q; Sep’=U; Oct’=V; Nov’=X; Dec’=Z}. All contracts are considered to be the most current year.

Assume a $10,000 opening account & one contract per trade/signal

Below: $P/(L)/contract=profit and loss of single contract trade per signal

P/L % margin= profit & loss per trade based upon margin/investment required per contract

Profit/Loss based on $10k opening account for 2016 YTD

KDelta 2016 Closed Trades/Performance                                    

.                                                                                            $ P/(L)      P/L

Date  Signal          Entry           Exit date/price         Contract  %margin

02-25-16 Buy C6H 7332             03-01-16 7426           960              56%

March results: 1 Win  P/L= $960    YTD=$17,379

02-26-16 Buy HGK 21410          02-29-16    21000     (1025)         (33%)

02-26-16 Buy N6H 6741            02-26-16     6711       (300)           (12%)

02-16-16 Sell B6H 14351           02-18-16    14340         69                3%

02-08-16 Sell ZMH 263.7           02-11-16 263.7               0                0%

02-10-16 Sell QMH 2755           02-11-16 2625            650              34%

02-10-16 Buy ZBH 167-09         02-11-16  168-24     1,469             33%

02-08-16 Buy ZNH 130-24         02-09-16 131-14        687              46%

02-08-16 Buy ZBH 164-08         02-08-16 165-08      1000              25%

02-05-16 Sell NKH 16630          02-08-16  16625          25               0.5%

02-04-16 Sell KEH 464-4            02-05-16  452-2         612              37%

02-03-16 Buy PAH 509.15         02-05-16 505.9         (425)             (9%)

01-29-16 Buy ZNH 129-09         02-04-16 130-04        844             57%

02-13-16 Sell E6H 11001           02-03-16 11135        1675            43%

02-03-16 Buy N6H 6540            02-03-16 6640          1000            39%

01-29-16 Buy ZBH 161-19         02-02-16  162-25      1187           27%

01-29-16 Buy ZFH 120-15.50   02-02-16 120-26.50   343            35%

01-26-16 Sell CTH 6114            02-01-16  6190          (380)          (31%)

February results: 12 wins & 2 losses: P/(L)=$7,431: YTD=$16,419

 

01-29-16 Sell S6H 9822             01-29-16 9772             625              13%

01-28-16 Sell ZMH 268.0         01-29-16 269.6           (160)             (8%)

01-22-16 Sell S6H 9875              01-28-16  9919          (550)            (11%)

01-27-16 Sell SBH 1392             01-28-16 1343             549               49%

01-26-16 Buy SIH 1443              01-28-16 1435            (400)              (7%)

01-26-16 Buy GCJ 1113.8          01-27-16 1127.2        1340               32%

01-11-16 Sell KCH 11525           01-22-16   11685        (600)            (18%)

01-15-16 Buy ZBH 159-05         01-22-16 159-08             93                2%

01-21-16 Buy DXH 9976             01-21-16    9939         (470)           (16%)

01-11-16 Sell SBH 1422              01-13-16    1434         (135)            (12%)

01-08-16 Sell OJH 138.90           01-12-16 131.50        1260              76%

01-05-16 Sell ZLH 2966              01-11-16 2925              246               23%

01-05-16 Sell PAH 540               01-06-16 518               2200              48%

01-04-16 Sell YMH 16990         01-08-16 16348           3210              75%

01-04-16 Buy GCG 1088.4        01-07-16 1106.2          1780              43%

January results: 9 wins & 6 losses: P/L=+$8,988/per contract:  YTD=$8,988

 

KDelta final profit for 2015 = $74,322 with no compounding using single contracts

Final results for 2014 trading single contracts per signal=$49,937

 

 

 

 

Disclaimer and Notice:  This report may contain information on investments that are high risk and have substantial risk of principal loss.  It is for informational purposes only. Statements in this communication are not statements of fact are merely opinions or forward looking statements from a potentially biased source(s) that involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual future results to differ materially from any prior or projected results. Statements in this communication may be inaccurate and/or unsuitable for you.  You must perform your own due diligence.  Your investment decisions should always be made based on your specific financial needs, suitability, objectives, goals, time horizon and risk tolerance.  Any decision is at your sole discretion and at your sole risk.  You are advised to consult with your individual investment and tax professionals before making any investment.  Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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