Category Archives: Inflation

Fed Declares ‘Sustained Expansion’ and Low Inflation ‘Likely’

Category: Inflation, Newsletter, Speculator, Stock Market, US Economy, US Jobs | No Comments

In a moment of unprofound insight lacking sound and fury meaning absolutely nothing to investor expectations, Fed Chief Powell this past week made the most anodyne comments possible that the economy was likely to continue growing. It’s also likely that the Fed has never forecast anything but continued economic growth as…

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Fed Misses on Inflation, Again

Category: Inflation, Newsletter, US Economy | No Comments

Most economists underestimated the stellar first quarter GDP of 3.2 percent and increasingly doubt their consensus 2020 recession forecast. While we also assumed a softer first quarter, we have remained Bullish on the economy and still  expect no recession the next 2 years as the consensus of economists and CEO’s…

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Stock Market Expiration Date

Category: Inflation, Newsletter, Stock Market, US Economy | No Comments

Economic expansions rarely last more than 8 to 10 years without a recession. Stock markets almost always have greater than 20% corrections associated with each recession. However, it’s naive to assume expansions and contractions have expiration dates. Looking for the global economy to engage in a classic contraction  with spiking unemployment and…

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