Category Archives: Inflation

Fed Misses on Inflation, Again

Category: Inflation, Newsletter, US Economy | No Comments

Most economists underestimated the stellar first quarter GDP of 3.2 percent and increasingly doubt their consensus 2020 recession forecast. While we also assumed a softer first quarter, we have remained Bullish on the economy and still  expect no recession the next 2 years as the consensus of economists and CEO’s…

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Stock Market Expiration Date

Category: Inflation, Newsletter, Stock Market, US Economy | No Comments

Economic expansions rarely last more than 8 to 10 years without a recession. Stock markets almost always have greater than 20% corrections associated with each recession. However, it’s naive to assume expansions and contractions have expiration dates. Looking for the global economy to engage in a classic contraction  with spiking unemployment and…

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