Global economic fears and the proliferation of stock Bear markets have grown in recent months. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has joined the negative interest rate club to combat a deflationary debt implosion as the deliberation of the year has become clear: Are we experiencing an isolated energy driven recession or systemic risk…
Dr Copper’s Negative Prognosis The best cure for low prices is — lower prices. A strong Dollar, declining demand growth rates in China amidst a demographic deceleration in the Western world have kept Copper and most commodities in a long term tailspin. It’s rare that commodities experience such protracted Bear…
Demographic Reality Hits China debt bubble, Oil junk credit crunch, commodity & emerging market depression, Russian brinkmanship and terrorism are the top themes for 2016. Only an exogenous event spiking Oil prices and 2nd quarter seasonality are likely to temporarily extinguish these negative themes continuing in 2016. Like the obesity epidemic warping our waste-lines, the primary anchor dragging…
Stock valuations change primarily upon future expectations. The US Stock market has traded sideways all year waiting for clarity on future trends with the US Central Bank (Fed) assumed to be the weather vain. Earnings and GDP growth have slowed, the US Dollar peaked in March, Oil prices have fallen to 6 year lows and…
Economic comparisons of economic data and stock values in most first world countries appear rational. Expectations of marginal economic growth rates and earnings in general correlate well with stock prices longer term. China is one of the exceptions that conjures assumptions of major manipulation. Chinese leaders have been gradually moving…
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