Category Archives: China

China and Oil’s Rational Dissipation

Category: China, Global Economy, Newsletter, Speculator | No Comments

Demographic Reality Hits China debt bubble, Oil junk credit crunch, commodity & emerging market depression, Russian brinkmanship and terrorism are the top themes for 2016.  Only an exogenous event spiking Oil prices and 2nd quarter seasonality are likely to temporarily extinguish these negative themes continuing in 2016. Like the obesity epidemic warping our waste-lines, the  primary anchor dragging…

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China Chicanery Causes Chaos

Category: China, Speculator | No Comments

Economic comparisons of economic data and stock values in most first world countries appear rational. Expectations of marginal economic growth rates and earnings in general correlate well with stock prices longer term. China is one of the exceptions that conjures assumptions of major manipulation. Chinese leaders have been gradually moving…

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business man in suit performing a tightrope act over the Shanghai skyline

China Watch

Category: China, Speculator | No Comments

China is walking a tightrope – Shan gao huangdi yuan Managing expectations and its stock market since 2011, China continues trying to bring their “shadow banking” market to heel without creating a panic and economic stall speed. Clearly Bernanke/Yellen with our Federal Reserve Bank have been more successful. China’s Shadow banking…

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