Category Archives: China

Sour Apple Guidance and Dovish Fed Gyrate Stocks

Category: China, Global Economy, Newsletter, Speculator, Stock Market, US Economy | No Comments

Moribund Manufacturing data and slower growth guidance by Apple have exacerbated growing fears of recession, sending stocks plunging 3% on the January 3rd. However, exceptionally strong job growth and dovish support from Fed Chair Powell the next day sent stock soaring 4%. Making sense of the frequent news driven volatility is challenging,…

Read More

Where in the World is R* and Phillips Curve Inflation?

Category: China, Global Economy, Newsletter, Oil, Speculator | No Comments

Our October report reviewed the limitations of the Phillips Curve in forecasting inflation as it relates to unemployment. Essentially economists interpretation of Phillips posit that lower unemployment equates to higher inflation. This view was created in the 1970’s post Gold/Currency Standard during the inflationary Baby Boom employment surge. Should the overall CPI rise above…

Read More
Ready to start creating financial success? START YOUR FREE TRIAL