Capitulation in Stocks and Oil Generate New Wave of KDelta Profits

KDelta cares not about global chaos and panic. This breakout model identifies about 100 trades a year covering all commodities catching sudden breaks of pivotal price support or resistance. This week we took large profits from Selling ES/SP Stock Index contracts and Selling energy through Shorts on Heating Oil. Gains this month are almost $11,000 utilizing single contracts per trade with year to date (YTD) gross profits topping 600%. Results like these have to be declared hypothetical as there is certainly risk of loss with any leveraged investment, however unlike most forecasters and money managers we identify investment entries and exits “well ahead of time” so that anyone can follow even without frequent updates. At some point a premium will be charged for this advice. Fortunately for readers we are too busy executing our model to be concerned over making a profit on our advice. If you find this advice interesting or hard to understand then please comment so that we can add value.

Currently we find the potential sell stops in the ag’ trades of Soybeans, Bean Meal and Wheat to be of interest this week.  Stocks are due for a capitulation reversal early this week as negative sentiment has reached extreme levels and merely needs a match from China or our Fed announcing support to trigger a rally. Volatility has finally returned – trade carefully! 

Why have Oil and all energy derivatives collapsed along with stocks this week? We have identified this trend for years: we are in a deflationary decade due to global demographics and a debt hangover. Looking closer the pundits are finally on to something: markets as we often say move on expectations and China and emerging markets are MUCH weaker than most expected. This tend has reduced demand/consumption forecasts during a time of rising capacity. Obviously prices have to correct. Stocks are very sensitive to this slowing China story and the threat of a senseless Fed rate hike that could tip our fragile economy into recession. Further panic in stocks, energy and commodity markets in general are quite plausible for the remainder of 2015, but we remain optimistic that lower energy prices and interest rates along with a booming service sector will allow manufacturing to rebound in 2016 and virtually all markets to anticipate accelerating growth down the road. None of this is relevant for our KDelta model which typically capitalizes on most trend changes.  See below for our latest pending trades, open trades and recently closed trades as well as past performance. All signals are shared in advance.

K DELTA 2015: Commodity futures trading system

Updated 08-23-15

KDelta profit YTD = $60,209 = +602% for 2015 YTD 67% winning trades

with no compounding using single contracts on $10,000 hypothetical initial balance.

(Italic=New trades/changes since last free update)

Open positions: Entry               Exit             Stop (Loss)/profit

08-03-15 Sell C6U 7628              Exit @ Market for profit. Closed 08-21-15 7591

08-12-15 Buy E6U 11138           Exit @Market for profit. Closed 08-21-15 11358

08-19-15 Sell ZSX 895-4             856-0          909-2

 

Pending Signal entries using Buy or Sell Stops only (GTC or good until canceled):

Sell NGU 2590                     Exit 2355   Cancel

Sell E6U 10816                    Exit 10677 Cancel

Sell N6U 6466                     Exit 6374    Cancel

Sell GCZ 1073.6                  Exit 1055.4 Cancel

Buy ESU 212625                Exit 219600 Cancel

Sell NGU 2655                    Exit 2590    Cancel

Sell NGU 2588                    Exit 2355    Cancel

Sell NGU 2588                    Exit 2212    Cancel

Buy NKU 20995                 Exit 21695  Cancel

Buy OJX 13480                   Exit TBD

Sell PAZ 58995                  Exit 55550

Buy PAZ 62585                  Exit TBD

Sell ZWZ 488-0                  Exit 477-4

Buy ZMZ 321.1                  Exit TBD

Sell ZMZ 308.3                  Exit 300.1

Sell NGV 2692                  Exit 2521

Sell NGV 2637                  Exit 2267

————

Assume a $10,000 opening account & one contract per trade/signal

Legend: Currencies: Australian $=A6, British Pound=B6, Canadian $=C6,New Zealand $=N6, Euro=E6, Yen= J6, Swiss Franc=S6, US Dollar=DX.  Ags: Corn= ZC, Wheat=ZW, Soybeans=ZS, Soybean Meal=ZM, Soybean Oil=ZL, Oats=ZO, Wheat=ZW, KC Wheat=KE. Metals: Copper=HG, Gold=GC, Silver=SI, Platinum=PL, Palladium=PA. Stock Indexes: SP 500=ES, Dow/DJIA=YM, Nasdaq=NQ, Mini-Russell 2000=TF, Nikkei=NKU. Softs: Cocoa=CC, Coffee=KC, Sugar=SB, Cotton=CT, Orange Juice=OJ, Lumber=LB.  Bonds: 30 Year T-Bonds=ZB, 10 Year Note=ZN, 5 Year Note=ZF. Energies: RB=Unleaded Gasoline; HO=Heating Oil; CL= Crude Oil; QM=mini-Crude Oil; NG=Natural Gas     {final-3rd– letter in symbol refers to contract month: Jan’=F; Feb’=G; Mar’=H; Apr’=J; May=K; Jun’=M; Jul’=N; Aug’=Q; Sep’=U; Oct’=V; Nov’=X; Dec’=Z}

Below: $P/(L)/contract=profit and loss of single contract trade per signal

P/L % margin= profit & loss per trade based upon margin required per contract

Profit/Loss based on $10k opening account for 2015 YTD

…………………………………………………………                        $ P/(L)          P/L

Date      Signal      Entry               Exit date/price       Contract        %margin

08-20-15 Sell ESU 203400          08-21-15  200375     1512             30%

08-19-15 Sell HOV 15383           08-20-15 14990        1650             29%

07-17-15 Sell GCZ 1134.9           08-12-15  1110.1      2480             59%

08-12-15 Buy ZFU 12001.75      08-12-15 12011.00     289             29%

08-03-15 Buy OJU 128.45          08-10-15 129.05           80               5%

07-31-15 Buy ZNU 12720.5       08-04-15   12704      (516)           (35%)

08-07-15 Buy DXU 9832             08-07-15    9765       (670)           (28%)

08-03-15 Buy OJU 127.05          08-05-15 132.65        840              57%

08-03-15 Sell HOU 15778          08-03-15 15431        1457             26%

August results: 7 wins & 2 losses = $10,986

YTD = 58 wins & 29 losses = $60,209

 

07-16-15 Sell S6U 104.93           07-30-15 103.22         2137            35%   

07-22-15 Sell ZLZ 3158               07-27-15  3045              678            77%

07-17-15 Sell QMU  5102.5       07-24-15 4862.5         1220            49%

07-16-15 Sell A6U 7327              07-24-15  7252             850           38%

07-06-15 Sell A6U 7469              07-24-15    7294         1750           80%

07-15-15 Sell GCQ 1143.7          07-20-15 1118.5         2520           61%

07-16-15 Buy ZMZ 356.5           07-16-15 349.7           (680)          (28%)

07-13-15 Buy ESU 2079.25        07-14-15  2097.75        925           18%

07-07-15 Sell SIU 1534               07-13-15  1564          (1500)        (20%)

07-06-15 Sell KCU 126.25          07-13-15  127.95         (638)        (17%)

07-02-15 Sell GCQ 1162.0          07-08-15  1146.6        1540         37%

07-06-15 Sell A6U 7553              07-07-15  7402           1510         69%

07-07-15 Sell RBQ  197.13         07-07-15 198.13         (420)         (7%)

06-26-15 Buy KEZ 590-2             07-06-15 598-2            400          81%

07-02-15 Buy NGQ 2870            07-06-15  2794            (760)       (36%)

07-06-15 Sell HOQ 182.27         07-06-15  177.32         2079        37%

06-29-15 Sell HOQ 182.80        07-01-15  188.35        (2331)       (42%)

06-26-15 Sell QMQ 59.15         07-01-15  57.35            1100         47%

July results: 12 wins & 6 loss = $10,380

YTD 51 wins & 27 losses: Profit using single contracts= $49,223 = +492%

 

06-18-15 Buy S6U 10867          06-19-15 10847         (250)       ( 4%)

06-18-15 Buy A6U 7777            06-19-15 7711           (666)      (30%)

06-22-15 Buy NQU 4544.00     06-25-15 4512.00      (640)       (16%)

06-18-15 Buy GCQ 1191.9        06-18-15 1204.9       1300          32%

06-15-15 Buy CCU 3168            06-16-15 3225            570           52%

06-15-15 Sell CTN 63.02           06-16-15  63.31          (145)       (10%)

06-11-15 Sell SBN 11.82           06-15-15 11.51            347          39%

06-09-15 Buy RBN 208.42        06-10-15 213.41        2096          33%

06-09-15 Sell ZBU 148-18        06-10-15 147-17        1132          30%

05-26-15 Sell J6M 8199             06-05-15 7950          3112        109%

06-05-15 Sell PLN 1088.7          06-05-15 1092          (165)          (8%)

05-29-15 Buy ZFM 119-21.75   06-01-15  119-15.50  (49)           (5%)

06-01-15 Sell ZMN 301.3          06-01-15 297.3           400           19%

June results: 7 wins & 3 losses = $7042

YTD 39 wins & 21 losses =$38,843 = +388%

 

05-29-15 Buy ZNM 128-05   05-29-15 128-05            0              0

05-22-15 Sell ZSN 934-6       05-29-15 934-6               0               0

05-21-15 Sell QMN 59.1       05-26-15 58.025         537            23%

05-14-15 Buy YMM 18189   05-26-15 18185          (20)             0%

05-19-15 Sell ZSN 948-6       05-22-15  932              837           38%

05-20-15 Sell J6M 8279        05-26-15 8201             975           34%

05-20-15 Buy ESM 2120       05-26-15 2114            (300)          (6%)

05-12-15 Sell ZMN 307.4      05-13-15 302.7            470           22%

05-11-15 Buy CCN 2968        05-11-15   3010           420          38%

05-01-15 Sell KCN 134.30   50% 05-08-15 134.05   109            2%

05-04-15 Sell KCN 131.95   50% 05-08-15 134.30 (1022)      (23%)

05-05-15 Buy PAM 788.10  50% 05-08-15 801

& 50% 05-11-15  783.90                                               435           10%

04-13-15 Sell ZFM 120-00     05-05-15 119-21         344           35%

04-29-15 Buy S6M 10580      05-05-15 10805        2812           34%

04-29-15 Buy QMM 5885      05-05-15 6030            725           27%

May results: 10 wins & 2 loss  P/L= $6,052  

YTD results= 32 wins & 15 losses: P/L=$31,801 = 318%

 

04-29-15 Sell ZNM 128-18     04-30-15 127-27       718             43%

04-23-15 Buy ESM 2110         04-30-15 2090.50    (950)          (19%)

04-24-15 Sell ZCN 374-6        04-27-15 366-4          412             37%

04-16-15 Buy N6M 7639        04-23-15  7594         (450)          (19%)

04-15-15 Sell RBM 188.60     04-20-15 190.15        650             25%

04-13-15 Buy HOM 180.60    04-15-15 189.00     3528             70%

04-09-15 Sell ZMN 314.5       04-20-15 317.5         (300)          (14%)

04-09-15 Sell NGM 2632       04-16-15 2632               0                  0

03-30-15 Sell NGK 2619        04-02-15 2718           (990)            (23%)

04-02-15 Buy ZWK 540-6      04-07-15   526           (738)            (52%)

04-02-15 Buy KEK 579-4       04-07-15 564-4          (250)            (18%)

03-31-15 Sell ZOK 265-2       04-01-15 262               162              13%

April results: 5 wins & 6 losses P/L=$ 1792

YTD results=22 wins & 13 losses: P/L = $25,459 = +255%

 

03-17-15 Sell ZCK 373-4     03-20-15 377-6              (213)           (19%)

03-13-15 Sell D6H 7800     03-18-15 7921             (1210)            (66%)

03-10-15 Sell J6H 8218       03-12-15 8272               (675)            (21%)

02-12-15 Buy NQH 4342.5 03-10-15 4389.5              940              24%

02-13-15 Buy ESH 2089      03-06-15  2089                     0               0

02-26-15 Buy DXH 95.24    03-05-15  96.60             1360              82%

02-26-15 Sell E6H 112.74   03-04-15  111.28           1825             54%

02-26-15 Buy HOJ 19423    03-04-15 18823           (2520)           (50%)

March results: 3 wins & 4 losses: P/L= $(493);

YTD=17W&7L: YTD P/L=$23,667=237%

 

02-25-15  Buy RBJ 18825    02-27-15 19528             2952             52%

02-25-15 Buy A6H 7860      02-26-15  7830              (300)           (12%)

02-24-15 Buy HGK 264.10  02-26-15  270.60           1625             43%

02-17-15 Sell LBK 303.75    02-24-15 292.9              1193             68%

02-18-15 Sell OJK 133         02-23-15  129                   600             45%

02-17-15 Sell KCK 161.15    02-19-15 154.20           2606             59%

01-16-15 Sell ZSH 990-6      02-03-15 966-6             1200             44%

February results:6 wins & 1 losses:14W/3L:P/L=$9,876:YTD=$24,160=+242%

 

01-28-15 Sell QMH 4479      01-29-15  4369             550               20%

01-26-15 Sell S6H 11353      01-29-15 10891          5775               69%

01-22-15 Sell B6H 15026      01-26-15 15053          (169)               (9%)

01-13-15 Sell ZMH 336.9      01-20-15      322.2      1470               67%

01-15-15 Sell NQH 4080.5    01-16-15    4101.5      (420)            (11%)

01-12-15 Sell HOG 16714    01-13-15      16316      1671              44%

01-12-15 Sell QMG 4682     01-13-15         4545        685              37%

12-15-14  Sell HEG 83.25      01-06-15      78.17      2032            154%

01-02-15 Sell D6H 8544        01-05-15       8472        720               57%

12-30-14 Sell CLG 53.97        01-05-15       50.03     1970            105%

January results: 8 wins & 2 loss: P/L=$14,284= +143% gain on $10k account

Final results for 2014 trading single contracts per signal=$49,937 which = +250% on a $20,000 account & 500% on a $10,000 account starting value

 

 

Disclaimer and Notice:  Nothing herein, including any attachments, should be construed as an offer to sell or as a solicitation of an offer, or a recommendation, to buy any interest in any investment or other product. This may contain information on investments that are high risk and have substantial risk of principal loss.  It is for informational purposes only. Statements in this communication that are not statements of fact are merely opinions or forward looking statements from a potentially biased source(s) that involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual future results to differ materially from any prior or projected results. Statements in this communication may be inaccurate and/or unsuitable for you.  You must perform your own due diligence.  Your investment decisions should always be made based on your specific financial needs, suitability, objectives, goals, time horizon and risk tolerance.  Any decision is at your sole discretion and at your sole risk.  You are advised to consult with your individual investment and tax professionals before making any investment.  Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

 

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