KDelta cares not about global chaos and panic. This breakout model identifies about 100 trades a year covering all commodities catching sudden breaks of pivotal price support or resistance. This week we took large profits from Selling ES/SP Stock Index contracts and Selling energy through Shorts on Heating Oil. Gains this month are almost $11,000 utilizing single contracts per trade with year to date (YTD) gross profits topping 600%. Results like these have to be declared hypothetical as there is certainly risk of loss with any leveraged investment, however unlike most forecasters and money managers we identify investment entries and exits “well ahead of time” so that anyone can follow even without frequent updates. At some point a premium will be charged for this advice. Fortunately for readers we are too busy executing our model to be concerned over making a profit on our advice. If you find this advice interesting or hard to understand then please comment so that we can add value.
Currently we find the potential sell stops in the ag’ trades of Soybeans, Bean Meal and Wheat to be of interest this week. Stocks are due for a capitulation reversal early this week as negative sentiment has reached extreme levels and merely needs a match from China or our Fed announcing support to trigger a rally. Volatility has finally returned – trade carefully!
Why have Oil and all energy derivatives collapsed along with stocks this week? We have identified this trend for years: we are in a deflationary decade due to global demographics and a debt hangover. Looking closer the pundits are finally on to something: markets as we often say move on expectations and China and emerging markets are MUCH weaker than most expected. This tend has reduced demand/consumption forecasts during a time of rising capacity. Obviously prices have to correct. Stocks are very sensitive to this slowing China story and the threat of a senseless Fed rate hike that could tip our fragile economy into recession. Further panic in stocks, energy and commodity markets in general are quite plausible for the remainder of 2015, but we remain optimistic that lower energy prices and interest rates along with a booming service sector will allow manufacturing to rebound in 2016 and virtually all markets to anticipate accelerating growth down the road. None of this is relevant for our KDelta model which typically capitalizes on most trend changes. See below for our latest pending trades, open trades and recently closed trades as well as past performance. All signals are shared in advance.
K DELTA 2015: Commodity futures trading system
Updated 08-23-15
KDelta profit YTD = $60,209 = +602% for 2015 YTD 67% winning trades
with no compounding using single contracts on $10,000 hypothetical initial balance.
(Italic=New trades/changes since last free update)
Open positions: Entry Exit Stop (Loss)/profit
08-03-15 Sell C6U 7628 Exit @ Market for profit. Closed 08-21-15 7591
08-12-15 Buy E6U 11138 Exit @Market for profit. Closed 08-21-15 11358
08-19-15 Sell ZSX 895-4 856-0 909-2
Pending Signal entries using Buy or Sell Stops only (GTC or good until canceled):
Sell NGU 2590 Exit 2355 Cancel
Sell E6U 10816 Exit 10677 Cancel
Sell N6U 6466 Exit 6374 Cancel
Sell GCZ 1073.6 Exit 1055.4 Cancel
Buy ESU 212625 Exit 219600 Cancel
Sell NGU 2655 Exit 2590 Cancel
Sell NGU 2588 Exit 2355 Cancel
Sell NGU 2588 Exit 2212 Cancel
Buy NKU 20995 Exit 21695 Cancel
Buy OJX 13480 Exit TBD
Sell PAZ 58995 Exit 55550
Buy PAZ 62585 Exit TBD
Sell ZWZ 488-0 Exit 477-4
Buy ZMZ 321.1 Exit TBD
Sell ZMZ 308.3 Exit 300.1
Sell NGV 2692 Exit 2521
Sell NGV 2637 Exit 2267
————
Assume a $10,000 opening account & one contract per trade/signal
Legend: Currencies: Australian $=A6, British Pound=B6, Canadian $=C6,New Zealand $=N6, Euro=E6, Yen= J6, Swiss Franc=S6, US Dollar=DX. Ags: Corn= ZC, Wheat=ZW, Soybeans=ZS, Soybean Meal=ZM, Soybean Oil=ZL, Oats=ZO, Wheat=ZW, KC Wheat=KE. Metals: Copper=HG, Gold=GC, Silver=SI, Platinum=PL, Palladium=PA. Stock Indexes: SP 500=ES, Dow/DJIA=YM, Nasdaq=NQ, Mini-Russell 2000=TF, Nikkei=NKU. Softs: Cocoa=CC, Coffee=KC, Sugar=SB, Cotton=CT, Orange Juice=OJ, Lumber=LB. Bonds: 30 Year T-Bonds=ZB, 10 Year Note=ZN, 5 Year Note=ZF. Energies: RB=Unleaded Gasoline; HO=Heating Oil; CL= Crude Oil; QM=mini-Crude Oil; NG=Natural Gas {final-3rd– letter in symbol refers to contract month: Jan’=F; Feb’=G; Mar’=H; Apr’=J; May=K; Jun’=M; Jul’=N; Aug’=Q; Sep’=U; Oct’=V; Nov’=X; Dec’=Z}
Below: $P/(L)/contract=profit and loss of single contract trade per signal
P/L % margin= profit & loss per trade based upon margin required per contract
Profit/Loss based on $10k opening account for 2015 YTD
………………………………………………………… $ P/(L) P/L
Date Signal Entry Exit date/price Contract %margin
08-20-15 Sell ESU 203400 08-21-15 200375 1512 30%
08-19-15 Sell HOV 15383 08-20-15 14990 1650 29%
07-17-15 Sell GCZ 1134.9 08-12-15 1110.1 2480 59%
08-12-15 Buy ZFU 12001.75 08-12-15 12011.00 289 29%
08-03-15 Buy OJU 128.45 08-10-15 129.05 80 5%
07-31-15 Buy ZNU 12720.5 08-04-15 12704 (516) (35%)
08-07-15 Buy DXU 9832 08-07-15 9765 (670) (28%)
08-03-15 Buy OJU 127.05 08-05-15 132.65 840 57%
08-03-15 Sell HOU 15778 08-03-15 15431 1457 26%
August results: 7 wins & 2 losses = $10,986
YTD = 58 wins & 29 losses = $60,209
07-16-15 Sell S6U 104.93 07-30-15 103.22 2137 35%
07-22-15 Sell ZLZ 3158 07-27-15 3045 678 77%
07-17-15 Sell QMU 5102.5 07-24-15 4862.5 1220 49%
07-16-15 Sell A6U 7327 07-24-15 7252 850 38%
07-06-15 Sell A6U 7469 07-24-15 7294 1750 80%
07-15-15 Sell GCQ 1143.7 07-20-15 1118.5 2520 61%
07-16-15 Buy ZMZ 356.5 07-16-15 349.7 (680) (28%)
07-13-15 Buy ESU 2079.25 07-14-15 2097.75 925 18%
07-07-15 Sell SIU 1534 07-13-15 1564 (1500) (20%)
07-06-15 Sell KCU 126.25 07-13-15 127.95 (638) (17%)
07-02-15 Sell GCQ 1162.0 07-08-15 1146.6 1540 37%
07-06-15 Sell A6U 7553 07-07-15 7402 1510 69%
07-07-15 Sell RBQ 197.13 07-07-15 198.13 (420) (7%)
06-26-15 Buy KEZ 590-2 07-06-15 598-2 400 81%
07-02-15 Buy NGQ 2870 07-06-15 2794 (760) (36%)
07-06-15 Sell HOQ 182.27 07-06-15 177.32 2079 37%
06-29-15 Sell HOQ 182.80 07-01-15 188.35 (2331) (42%)
06-26-15 Sell QMQ 59.15 07-01-15 57.35 1100 47%
July results: 12 wins & 6 loss = $10,380
YTD 51 wins & 27 losses: Profit using single contracts= $49,223 = +492%
06-18-15 Buy S6U 10867 06-19-15 10847 (250) ( 4%)
06-18-15 Buy A6U 7777 06-19-15 7711 (666) (30%)
06-22-15 Buy NQU 4544.00 06-25-15 4512.00 (640) (16%)
06-18-15 Buy GCQ 1191.9 06-18-15 1204.9 1300 32%
06-15-15 Buy CCU 3168 06-16-15 3225 570 52%
06-15-15 Sell CTN 63.02 06-16-15 63.31 (145) (10%)
06-11-15 Sell SBN 11.82 06-15-15 11.51 347 39%
06-09-15 Buy RBN 208.42 06-10-15 213.41 2096 33%
06-09-15 Sell ZBU 148-18 06-10-15 147-17 1132 30%
05-26-15 Sell J6M 8199 06-05-15 7950 3112 109%
06-05-15 Sell PLN 1088.7 06-05-15 1092 (165) (8%)
05-29-15 Buy ZFM 119-21.75 06-01-15 119-15.50 (49) (5%)
06-01-15 Sell ZMN 301.3 06-01-15 297.3 400 19%
June results: 7 wins & 3 losses = $7042
YTD 39 wins & 21 losses =$38,843 = +388%
05-29-15 Buy ZNM 128-05 05-29-15 128-05 0 0
05-22-15 Sell ZSN 934-6 05-29-15 934-6 0 0
05-21-15 Sell QMN 59.1 05-26-15 58.025 537 23%
05-14-15 Buy YMM 18189 05-26-15 18185 (20) 0%
05-19-15 Sell ZSN 948-6 05-22-15 932 837 38%
05-20-15 Sell J6M 8279 05-26-15 8201 975 34%
05-20-15 Buy ESM 2120 05-26-15 2114 (300) (6%)
05-12-15 Sell ZMN 307.4 05-13-15 302.7 470 22%
05-11-15 Buy CCN 2968 05-11-15 3010 420 38%
05-01-15 Sell KCN 134.30 50% 05-08-15 134.05 109 2%
05-04-15 Sell KCN 131.95 50% 05-08-15 134.30 (1022) (23%)
05-05-15 Buy PAM 788.10 50% 05-08-15 801
& 50% 05-11-15 783.90 435 10%
04-13-15 Sell ZFM 120-00 05-05-15 119-21 344 35%
04-29-15 Buy S6M 10580 05-05-15 10805 2812 34%
04-29-15 Buy QMM 5885 05-05-15 6030 725 27%
May results: 10 wins & 2 loss P/L= $6,052
YTD results= 32 wins & 15 losses: P/L=$31,801 = 318%
04-29-15 Sell ZNM 128-18 04-30-15 127-27 718 43%
04-23-15 Buy ESM 2110 04-30-15 2090.50 (950) (19%)
04-24-15 Sell ZCN 374-6 04-27-15 366-4 412 37%
04-16-15 Buy N6M 7639 04-23-15 7594 (450) (19%)
04-15-15 Sell RBM 188.60 04-20-15 190.15 650 25%
04-13-15 Buy HOM 180.60 04-15-15 189.00 3528 70%
04-09-15 Sell ZMN 314.5 04-20-15 317.5 (300) (14%)
04-09-15 Sell NGM 2632 04-16-15 2632 0 0
03-30-15 Sell NGK 2619 04-02-15 2718 (990) (23%)
04-02-15 Buy ZWK 540-6 04-07-15 526 (738) (52%)
04-02-15 Buy KEK 579-4 04-07-15 564-4 (250) (18%)
03-31-15 Sell ZOK 265-2 04-01-15 262 162 13%
April results: 5 wins & 6 losses P/L=$ 1792
YTD results=22 wins & 13 losses: P/L = $25,459 = +255%
03-17-15 Sell ZCK 373-4 03-20-15 377-6 (213) (19%)
03-13-15 Sell D6H 7800 03-18-15 7921 (1210) (66%)
03-10-15 Sell J6H 8218 03-12-15 8272 (675) (21%)
02-12-15 Buy NQH 4342.5 03-10-15 4389.5 940 24%
02-13-15 Buy ESH 2089 03-06-15 2089 0 0
02-26-15 Buy DXH 95.24 03-05-15 96.60 1360 82%
02-26-15 Sell E6H 112.74 03-04-15 111.28 1825 54%
02-26-15 Buy HOJ 19423 03-04-15 18823 (2520) (50%)
March results: 3 wins & 4 losses: P/L= $(493);
YTD=17W&7L: YTD P/L=$23,667=237%
02-25-15 Buy RBJ 18825 02-27-15 19528 2952 52%
02-25-15 Buy A6H 7860 02-26-15 7830 (300) (12%)
02-24-15 Buy HGK 264.10 02-26-15 270.60 1625 43%
02-17-15 Sell LBK 303.75 02-24-15 292.9 1193 68%
02-18-15 Sell OJK 133 02-23-15 129 600 45%
02-17-15 Sell KCK 161.15 02-19-15 154.20 2606 59%
01-16-15 Sell ZSH 990-6 02-03-15 966-6 1200 44%
February results:6 wins & 1 losses:14W/3L:P/L=$9,876:YTD=$24,160=+242%
01-28-15 Sell QMH 4479 01-29-15 4369 550 20%
01-26-15 Sell S6H 11353 01-29-15 10891 5775 69%
01-22-15 Sell B6H 15026 01-26-15 15053 (169) (9%)
01-13-15 Sell ZMH 336.9 01-20-15 322.2 1470 67%
01-15-15 Sell NQH 4080.5 01-16-15 4101.5 (420) (11%)
01-12-15 Sell HOG 16714 01-13-15 16316 1671 44%
01-12-15 Sell QMG 4682 01-13-15 4545 685 37%
12-15-14 Sell HEG 83.25 01-06-15 78.17 2032 154%
01-02-15 Sell D6H 8544 01-05-15 8472 720 57%
12-30-14 Sell CLG 53.97 01-05-15 50.03 1970 105%
January results: 8 wins & 2 loss: P/L=$14,284= +143% gain on $10k account
Final results for 2014 trading single contracts per signal=$49,937 which = +250% on a $20,000 account & 500% on a $10,000 account starting value
Disclaimer and Notice: Nothing herein, including any attachments, should be construed as an offer to sell or as a solicitation of an offer, or a recommendation, to buy any interest in any investment or other product. This may contain information on investments that are high risk and have substantial risk of principal loss. It is for informational purposes only. Statements in this communication that are not statements of fact are merely opinions or forward looking statements from a potentially biased source(s) that involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual future results to differ materially from any prior or projected results. Statements in this communication may be inaccurate and/or unsuitable for you. You must perform your own due diligence. Your investment decisions should always be made based on your specific financial needs, suitability, objectives, goals, time horizon and risk tolerance. Any decision is at your sole discretion and at your sole risk. You are advised to consult with your individual investment and tax professionals before making any investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.