Fear of the unknown about the Coronavirus (COVID-19) is a problem. Central Banks can print Trillions and cut interest rates, but they can’t make people fly on planes and they can’t speed up a cure. There is no vaccine likely until the virus is no longer a threat, but global…
The Butterfly effect is often exemplified by the hyperbolic statement that “the flapping of a butterfly’s wings can cause a hurricane on the other side of the world”. While such a statement can never be proven, the concept of small changes in one area causing larger effects far away is…
As the Political season heats up, the battle for voters inspires a steady stream of hyperbole on both sides. President Trump claims this is the best economy ever, while the Left asserts solemnly that most people are struggling. Those in power want you to believe you feel better than ever…
After 3 years of stellar consumer confidence and soaring stock prices, investors reached a crescendo of exuberance and record setting optimism that warned of a market priced for perfection. Suddenly on our forecasted topping date of January 24th, the stock market caught Corona fever. Normally an excessively positive running of…
The economy is finishing its eleventh year of continuous expansion with virtually full employment, no overheating and excellent levels of consumer spending and optimism. Stocks often move months in advance of earnings and GDP trends and currently appears priced for perfection and better growth ahead. The benchmark SP 500 Index…
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