KDelta Awaits Fed Indecision Day

K DELTA Futures:

Stocks, bonds and currencies are the obvious markets directly affected by the words of Janet Yellen’s Federal Reserve, but virtually all markets can be pushed around as an army of investors interpret and reinterpret the Fed’s intentions Wednesday. It’s a silly game with almost no major impact, but it’s the biggest game in town that often leads to short term volatility.

Sugar tested 2 ticks short of our projected exit 3 times intraday, yet we will keep the same exit and profit stop. As always remaining commodity orders are canceled once a trade exits.

Orange Juice moved quite quickly today entering and exiting the same day for a nice gain as outlined. Having back to back KDelta buys in the same commodity is a higher confidence trading pattern as was the case here.

Natural Gas prices continue to surge after hours very close to our Buy stop entry as late season warmth has created stronger than expected demand. Prices are very overbought so we suspect that any further breakout will be brief.

The Canadian $ is waiting for the Fed rate hike decision Wednesday which often leads to 2 way price action. Otherwise Oil will be the deciding factor for Canadian $ support.

KDelta profit YTD=$35,535=355%

YTD 47 wins & 30 losses = 61% winning trades

(using single contracts on $10,000 hypothetical initial balance, no compounding)

Open positions

 Entry                                               Exit                             Stop (Loss)/Profit Exit

09-16-16 Buy SBV 2124               2231                               2179

 

Pending Signals: entries using Buy or Sell Stops only (GTC or good until canceled):

Entry Price                               Target Exit Price             Initial Trailing Stop

Buy NGX 3149                               3325                                3090

Sell C6Z 7549                                7422                                7595

Sell ZMZ 303.8                              291.5                               308.8

Legend: Currencies: Australian $=A6, British Pound=B6, Canadian $=C6, New Zealand $=N6, Euro=E6, Yen= J6, Swiss Franc=S6, Mexican Peso = M6, US Dollar=DX.  Ags: Corn= ZC, Soybeans=ZS, Soybean Meal=ZM, Soybean Oil=ZL, Oats=ZO, Wheat=ZW, KC Wheat=KE. Metals: Copper=HG, Gold=GC, mini-Gold= YG, Silver=SI, Platinum=PL, Palladium=PA. Stock Indexes: SP 500=ES, Dow/DJIA=YM, Nasdaq=NQ, Mini-Russell 2000=TF, Nikkei=NKE. Softs: Cocoa=CC or CO, Coffee=KC, Sugar=SB, Cotton=CT, Orange Juice=OJ, Lumber=LB.  Bonds: 30 Year T-Bonds=ZB, 10 Year Note=ZN, 5 Year Note=ZF. Energies: RB=Unleaded Gasoline; HO=Heating Oil; CL= Crude Oil; QM=mini-Crude Oil; NG=Natural Gas     {final or 3rd– letter in symbol refers to contract month: Jan’=F; Feb’=G; Mar’=H; Apr’=J; May=K; Jun’=M; Jul’=N; Aug’=Q; Sep’=U; Oct’=V; Nov’=X; Dec’=Z}. All contracts are considered to be the most current year.

Assume a $10,000 opening account & one contract per trade/signal

Below: $P/(L)/contract=profit and loss of single contract trade per signal

P/L % margin= profit & loss per trade based upon margin/investment required per contract

Profit/Loss based on $10k opening account for 2016 YTD

KDelta 2016 Closed Trades/Performance                                    

.                                                                                          $ P/(L)            P/L

Date       Signal     Entry           Exit date/price       Contract       %margin 

09-20-16 Buy OJX 20000          09-20-16   20420         630                 30%

09-08-16 Buy OJX 19455          09-12-16   19525        105                  5%

09-08-16 Sell ZBZ 168-24         09-09-16   167-17       1219                29%

September results: 2 Win & 0 Losses = +1954: YTD = $35,535     

08-29-16 Sell CTZ 6687            08-31-16  6606             405                 23%

08-26-16 Sell ZMZ 319.9          08-30-16  313.6            630                25%

08-26-16 Sell ZNU 131-19       08-29-16  131-19          0                      0

08-26-16 Sell KEZ 423-6           08-29-16   410-0          688                 52%

08-26-16 Sell J6U 9894            08-26-16   9819           956                  21%

08-23-16 Buy N6U 7329          08-26-16   7277          (520)                (20%)

08-19-16 Sell SIZ 1936             08-22-16   1865          3550                  61%

08-19-16 Buy ZWZ 446-0        08-22-16   435-0         (550)                 (42%)

08-15-16 Buy M6U 5500         08-17-16   5453          (235)                 (14%)

08-16-16 Buy J6U 9950           08-16-16   10045        1187                   26%

08-15-16 Buy KEZ 443-6          08-15-16   438-0        (287)                  (19%)

08-0416 Sell HGU 21775         08-10-16   21820       (113)                   (5%)

08-08-16 Buy A6U 7662          08-10-16   7746           840                     42%

08-04-16 Buy CTZ 7501           08-05-16   7791          1450                   75%

07-22-16 Sell CCU 2895           08-01-16   2892          30                       2%

August results: 8 wins & 5 loss:   $8031   YTD = $33,581

07-25-16 Sell ZLZ 3013             07-29-16 (3062)      (294)                  (36%)

07-19-16 Buy DXU 9687          07-27-16   9706         190                    8%

07-22-16 Sell C6U 7586           07-27-16  (7626)      (400)                 (25%)

07-22-16 Sell KCU 144.80       07-22-16   140.65      1556                  50%

07-20-16 Sell QMU 4517.5     07-20-16   4605         (438)                 (23%)

07-07-16 Sell QMQ 4580        07-12-16   4635         (275)                 (15%)

07-11-16 Buy CTZ 6665          07-12-16    6930          1325                  104%

07-08-16 Buy N6U 7233         07-11-16   7193          (400)                 (16%)

06-29-16 Buy KCU 14430        07-06-16  14195        (881)                 (28%)

July results 3 wins & 6 losses: P/(L)= $383:  YTD = $25,550

 

06-28-16 Buy PAU 571.5       06-30-16 594.5             2300                  50%

06-24-16 Buy YMU 17990     06-24-16  17800          (955)                 (27%)

06-16-16 Buy KCU 13980      06-23-16  13980           0                        0

06-09-16 Buy ZNU 131-08    06-20-16  131-15          219                   16%

06-02-16 Buy OJN 156.00     06-09-16  163.45          1117                 58%

06-03-16 Buy ZBU 165-28     06-14-16  169-11         3469                 86%

06-02-16 Sell M6M 5360      06-07-16  5386            (130)                 (8%)

06-02-16 Buy ZWN 485-0     06-06-16 506-4             1075                 70%

June results: 5 Win & 1 Loss: P/(L) = 7095   YTD = $25,167

 

05-20-16 Buy SBN 1701         05-25-16    1656         (495)                 (34%)

05-24-16 Sell N6M 6700         05-25-16  6735          (350)                 (14%)

05-19-16 Sell ESM 2030.25    05-20-16 2046.00      (788)                (17%)

05-18-16 Sell NGN 2169          05-19-16 2109            660                  36%

05-19-16 Sell N6M 6703          05-19-16 6754           (510)               ( 20%)

05-19-16 Sell ZLN 3200            05-19-16  3109           546                  66%

05-09-16 Sell RBM 14654        05-10-16 14654          0                       0

04-29-16 Sell DXM 9361          05-02-16 9251            1000                45%

04-29-16 Buy M6M 5810         05-02-16 5745           (325)               (17%)

May results: 2 Win & 5 Losses: P/(L)= (262): YTD= $18,072

 

04-19-16 Buy N6M 6942         04-21-16 6952           100                  4%

04-20-16 Buy PLN 1010.4        04-21-16 1038.8      1420                 61%

04-08-16 Buy CTK 5948            04-08-16 6042          470                  37%

04-06-16 Sell DXM 9229           04-07-16  9265        (360)               (16%)

04-04-16 Buy NGK 2033           04-05-16 1925         (1080)             (55%)

03-17-16 Buy ZLK 3278             04-05-16 3398          720                  82%

04-01-16 Buy CTK 5890            04-05-16 5857          (165)               (13%)

April results: 4 Wins & 3 Losses: P/(L)= 1105:   YTD Net $18,334

 

03-29-16 Buy ZCK 372-2            03-30-16   369-2      (150)              (15%)

03-29-16 Buy S6M 10406          03-30-16 10406        0                     0

03-03-16 Buy YGJ 1264.0          03-07-16 1264.0        0                     0

02-25-16 Buy C6H 7332             03-01-16 7426           960               56%

March results: 1 Win & 1 Loss: P/L= $810    YTD=$17,229

 

02-26-16 Buy HGK 21410          02-29-16    21000     (1025)         (33%)

02-26-16 Buy N6H 6741            02-26-16     6711       (300)           (12%)

02-16-16 Sell B6H 14351           02-18-16    14340         69                3%

02-08-16 Sell ZMH 263.7           02-11-16 263.7               0                0%

02-10-16 Sell QMH 2755           02-11-16 2625            650              34%

02-10-16 Buy ZBH 167-09         02-11-16  168-24     1,469             33%

02-08-16 Buy ZNH 130-24         02-09-16 131-14        687              46%

02-08-16 Buy ZBH 164-08         02-08-16 165-08      1000              25%

02-05-16 Sell NKH 16630          02-08-16  16625          25               0.5%

02-04-16 Sell KEH 464-4            02-05-16  452-2         612              37%

02-03-16 Buy PAH 509.15         02-05-16 505.9         (425)             (9%)

01-29-16 Buy ZNH 129-09         02-04-16 130-04        844             57%

02-03-16 Sell E6H 11001           02-03-16 11135        1675            43%

02-03-16 Buy N6H 6540            02-03-16 6640          1000            39%

01-29-16 Buy ZBH 161-19         02-02-16  162-25      1187           27%

01-29-16 Buy ZFH 120-15.50   02-02-16 120-26.50   343            35%

01-26-16 Sell CTH 6114            02-01-16  6190          (380)          (31%)

February results: 12 wins & 4 losses: P/(L)=$7,431: YTD=$16,419

 

01-29-16 Sell S6H 9822             01-29-16 9772             625              13%

01-28-16 Sell ZMH 268.0         01-29-16 269.6           (160)             (8%)

01-22-16 Sell S6H 9875              01-28-16  9919          (550)            (11%)

01-27-16 Sell SBH 1392             01-28-16 1343             549               49%

01-26-16 Buy SIH 1443              01-28-16 1435            (400)              (7%)

01-26-16 Buy GCJ 1113.8          01-27-16 1127.2        1340               32%

01-11-16 Sell KCH 11525           01-22-16   11685        (600)            (18%)

01-15-16 Buy ZBH 159-05         01-22-16 159-08             93                2%

01-21-16 Buy DXH 9976             01-21-16    9939         (470)           (16%)

01-11-16 Sell SBH 1422              01-13-16    1434         (135)            (12%)

01-08-16 Sell OJH 138.90           01-12-16 131.50        1260              76%

01-05-16 Sell ZLH 2966              01-11-16 2925              246               23%

01-05-16 Sell PAH 540               01-06-16 518               2200              48%

01-04-16 Sell YMH 16990         01-08-16 16348           3210              75%

01-04-16 Buy GCG 1088.4        01-07-16 1106.2          1780              43%

January results: 9 wins & 6 losses: P/L=+$8,988/per contract:  YTD=$8,988

 

KDelta final profit for 2015 = $74,322 with no compounding using single contracts

Final results for 2014 trading single contracts per signal=$49,937

 

 

 

Disclaimer and Notice:  This report may contain information on investments that are high risk and have substantial risk of principal loss.  It is for informational purposes only. Statements in this communication are not statements of fact are merely opinions or forward looking statements from a potentially biased source(s) that involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual future results to differ materially from any prior or projected results. Statements in this communication may be inaccurate and/or unsuitable for you.  You must perform your own due diligence.  Your investment decisions should always be made based on your specific financial needs, suitability, objectives, goals, time horizon and risk tolerance.  Any decision is at your sole discretion and at your sole risk.  You are advised to consult with your individual investment and tax professionals before making any investment.  Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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