Category Archives: China

Copper, China and Global Recovery

Category: China, Newsletter | No Comments

Copper and Oil are important barometers of economic direction. The weather vane for Copper’s direction isn’t as much supply, but demand. Chinese industrial activity and the commitment of traders are important demand side tells to observe. When Copper surged an impressive 10 cents a pound last week it was blamed on the…

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Commodity Index As Leading Economic Indicator

Category: China, Global Economy, Newsletter, Oil, Speculator, Stock Market, US Economy | No Comments

Within 15 years the western world entitlement tsunami enlarged by aging demographics should swamp the global economy during a deeper than normal cyclical contraction, but the tea leaves guiding current economic cycles can be simplified  by focusing upon raw commodity prices.  Prosperity and growth will generally stagnate or contract as long as commodity prices are…

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China Desires Fixed Free Market

Category: China, Newsletter, Speculator | No Comments

5 Year Plan China craves respect. In order to join the esteemed high income Western democracies it has to open its financial borders, float its currency and allow business the freedom to succeed and fail. China’s thirteenth 5 Year Plan is due to be revealed formally this month to achieve these and many other specific objectives…

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Copper-Bottom

Category: China, Newsletter, Speculator | No Comments

Dr Copper’s Negative Prognosis The best cure for low prices is — lower prices. A strong Dollar, declining demand growth rates in China amidst a demographic deceleration in the Western world have kept Copper and most commodities in a long term tailspin. It’s rare that commodities experience such protracted Bear…

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